Global Market Comments
July 3, 2018
Fiat Lux
Featured Trade:
(TAKING OFF FOR EUROPE),
(JOIN ME ON THE QUEEN MARY 2 FOR MY JULY 11, 2018 SEMINAR AT SEA),
(TESTIMONIAL)
Terrorist attacks, trade wars, and crashing airlines all spell one thing to me.
Travel bargains!
Of course, my first choice for a vacation destination this year was the civil war in Syria, so I could find out on the ground what is really happening there. In addition, I could shop for a refugee camp in Jordan for one of my nonprofits to help support.
Unfortunately, my family was not too hot on this idea, not wishing to buy me back from kidnappers at an inflated price, again (the last time was Cambodia in 1976).
The Joint Chiefs were not too thrilled either. At my advanced aged, I simply know too much to fall into the wrong hands. They said I would last a day.
So I compromised. This summer will find me crossing the Atlantic on Cunard's Queen Mary 2 where I will be conducting my Seminar at Sea for a few lucky subscribers.
Then, I'll be camping out at the Hemingway Suite at the Ritz Hotel in Paris for Bastille Day, sailing in a steamboat on the placid waters of Lake Geneva to view the Alps, retreating to my chalet in Zermatt, Switzerland, to climb the Matterhorn for the sixth time, and then passing through Amsterdam to eat some raw herring.
Three tuxes and my white dinner jacket are packed, the five-star hotels are booked, and soon the limo will be waiting outside. The Cessna is fully fueled and the flight plan filed. I am taking off for my 2018 European Strategy Luncheon Tour.
I have worked the hardest in my life the past year, and it is time for a break. I have also put myself through the most grueling training regimen, hiking 2,000 miles and snowshoeing another 600, all with a 60-pound pack.
Every year it seems to get harder to keep the calendar at bay.
Along the way I will be meeting with other hedge fund managers, senior government officials, CEOs at major banks and Fortune 500 companies, large institutional investors, and a Nobel Prize winner or two.
Getting out into the real world and soaking up new data and opinions is invaluable in shaping my own global view, and your performance benefits from it.
Since I don't stumble across these people in my living room, I have to travel the world to seek them out. You can soak up all the online data you want, but nothing beats contact with the real world.
In New York I'll board the Cunard Line's Queen Mary 2 at the Brooklyn Cruise Terminal to take residence in the owner's suite. If the ship's satellite link cooperates this year, I will be filing live reports along the way.
As we pass over the wreck of the Titanic on the second day out, we'll throw a bouquet of flowers as a mark of respect.
I'll then board the Orient Express for Venice, where the dinner is black tie only. Hopefully, there won't be any murders this time.
If a new Brioni suit and pair of Gucci shoes throw themselves upon me while I stroll through the Galleria in Milan I may be unable to resist.
In Geneva I'll be consulting with the representatives of several Middle Eastern royal families while they vacation in the Alps.
One afternoon will be devoted to taking the paddle wheel steamer on Lake Geneva to the Chateau de Chillon in Montreux where Lord Byron used to live, sipping fine Swiss white wines along the way.
The grand finale will be my annual assault on the Matterhorn at Zermatt, which at 14,692 feet is higher than anything we have in the continental U.S. After training all year for this, it's now or never.
I spend my evenings there at public steam baths where afterward I roll around in the snow and beat myself with birch branches. It is invigorating, to say the least.
I will be traveling with my laptop and keeping touch with the markets. While 18th century Internet service is passable, the bandwidth can be snail like. So, unless I see something extraordinary, I will cut back on new Trade Alerts.
After running up a 304% return in 8 1/2 years and beating 99.9% of the hedge funds in the industry, I deserve a break. I need to spend some time alone on a mountaintop, communing with the spirits, attempting to discover the new long-term market trends through the mist.
While on the road, I will continue writing my newsletter, giving you my daily dose of market insight. I will also be re-running some of my favorite research pieces from the past when my travel schedule does not allow Internet access.
This is to expose my thousands on new subscribers to the golden oldies, and to remind the legacy readers who have since forgotten them.
I will be back in San Francisco in early August, glued to my screens once again for another year of toil in the salt mines. In the meantime, please feel free to email me.
Mad Hedge Technology Letter author Arthur Henry and Mad Day Trader Bill Davis will be working straight through the summer. No rest for the wicked!
In the meantime, I shall be raising a glass to all of you at dinner, the loyal readers of The Diary of a Mad Hedge Fund Trader. Salute! Prost! Kampai, and Cheers! Thanks for making this letter a huge success!
If you want to take the opportunity to meet me in person, please find my strategy luncheon schedule below. To purchase tickets for the luncheons, please click here https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/category/luncheons/ and choose the country and city of your choice.
Wednesday, July 11, 2018: Queen Mary 2 Seminar at Sea
Monday, July 16, 2018: Paris, France Global Strategy Luncheon
Friday, July 27, 2018: Zermatt, Switzerland Global Strategy Seminar
Friday, August 3, 2018: Amsterdam, The Netherlands Global Strategy Dinner
I'll Meet You on Top
My Plug Adapters Are Ready to Go
"It doesn't take Herculean assumptions to get to $170 for S&P 500 earnings this year. Slap a 17.5 multiple on that, and you get 3,000 for the index," said Brian Jacobsen of Wells Fargo Asset Management.
Global Market Comments
July 2, 2018
Fiat Lux
Featured Trade:
(THE MARKET OUTLOOK FOR THE WEEK AHEAD, OR THE FUTURE IS HAPPENING FAST),
(HOG), (TLT), (ROM), (MU), (NVDA), (LRCX),
(SPY), (AMZN), (NFLX), (EEM), (UUP), (WBA),
(THE WORST TRADE IN HISTORY), (AAPL)
"Not investing in technology now is like not investing in industrial companies during the Industrial Revolution," said one portfolio manager.
Global Market Comments
June 29, 2018
Fiat Lux
Featured Trade:
(WHY THE WORLD IS ABOUT TO END),
(TLT), (TBT), (HYLD), (LQD), (JNK), (SPG),
(JOIN US AT THE MAD HEDGE LAKE TAHOE, NEVADA, CONFERENCE, OCTOBER 26-27, 2018)
"Every time there's a dip, you are going to see investors come in from the sidelines because they're underinvested. On the other hand, the market is going nowhere because of growth. So, every time the market sticks its head up, they are going to sell the rallies. You are going to see this over and over again," said hedge fund manager, Mark Fisher, of MBF Clearing Corp.
Global Market Comments
June 28, 2018
Fiat Lux
Featured Trade:
(FRIDAY, AUGUST 3, 2018, AMSTERDAM, THE NETHERLANDS GLOBAL STRATEGY DINNER),
(TRAPPED IN PURGATORY),
(INDU), (SPY), (NASDAQ), (IWM), (TLT)
"It is necessary for us to learn from others' mistakes. You won't live long enough to make them all yourself," said Admiral Hyman G. Rickover, creator of America's first nuclear submarine fleet.
Global Market Comments
June 27, 2018
Fiat Lux
Featured Trade:
(FRIDAY, JULY 27, 2018, ZERMATT, SWITZERLAND GLOBAL STRATEGY SEMINAR)
(SHORT SELLING SCHOOL 101),
(SH), (SDS), (PSQ), (DOG), (RWM), (SPXU), (AAPL),
(VIX), (VXX), (IPO), (MTUM), (SPHB), (HDGE)
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