Global Market Comments
April 22, 2014
Fiat Lux
ANOTHER SPECIAL TESLA ISSUE
Featured Trade:
(LAST CHANCE TO ATTEND THE APRIL 25 SAN FRANCISCO STRATEGY LUNCHEON),
(CRASH TESTING THE TESLA), (TSLA)
Tesla Motors, Inc. (TSLA)
Global Market Comments
April 22, 2014
Fiat Lux
ANOTHER SPECIAL TESLA ISSUE
Featured Trade:
(LAST CHANCE TO ATTEND THE APRIL 25 SAN FRANCISCO STRATEGY LUNCHEON),
(CRASH TESTING THE TESLA), (TSLA)
Tesla Motors, Inc. (TSLA)
Global Market Comments
April 21, 2014
Fiat Lux
Featured Trade:
(JULY 11 SARDINIA, ITALY STRATEGY LUNCHEON)
(THE 1% AND THE BOND MARKET),
(TLT), (TBT), (MUB), (LQD), (ELD), (JNK),
(MAKE YOUR NEXT KILLING IN AFRICA),
(AFK), (GAF)
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond (TLT)
ProShares UltraShort 20+ Year Treasury (TBT)
iShares National AMT-Free Muni Bond (MUB)
iShares iBoxx $ Invst Grade Crp Bond (LQD)
WisdomTree Emerging Markets Local Debt (ELD)
SPDR Barclays High Yield Bond (JNK)
Vectors Africa Index ETF (AFK)
SPDR S&P Emerging Middle East & Africa (GAF)
Global Market Comments
April 17, 2014
Fiat Lux
Featured Trade:
(LAS VEGAS WEDNESDAY, MAY 14 GLOBAL STRAGEGY LUNCHEON),
(THE MARKETS ARE NOT RIGGED)
Global Market Comments
April 16, 2014
Fiat Lux
Featured Trade:
(CHICAGO FRIDAY, MAY 23 GLOBAL STRAGEGY LUNCHEON),
(BUY SOLAR STOCKS ON THE DIP),
(FSLR), (SPWR), (SCTY), (TAN), (USO), (UNG), (XLU),
(THE ONE SAFE PLACE IN REAL ESTATE)
First Solar, Inc. (FSLR)
SunPower Corporation (SPWR)
SolarCity Corporation (SCTY)
Guggenheim Solar (TAN)
United States Oil (USO)
United States Natural Gas (UNG)
Utilities Select Sector SPDR (XLU)
Global Market Comments
April 15, 2014
Fiat Lux
Featured Trade:
(FRIDAY APRIL 25 SAN FRANCISCO STRATEGY LUNCHEON),
(HOW LONG WILL THE RUN IN MASTER LIMITED PARTNERSHIPS CONTINUE?),
(LINE), (BWP), (USO), (UNG),
(PILING ON THE SHORTS AGAIN), (SPY)
Linn Energy, LLC (LINE)
Boardwalk Pipeline Partners, LP (BWP)
United States Oil (USO)
United States Natural Gas (UNG)
SPDR S&P 500 (SPY)
Boy, that was one hell of a recommendation I made back in 2012, getting readers to buy Master Limited Partnerships (MLP?s).
The share price for my favorite, Linn Energy (LINN), is unchanged from when I urged readers to pick it up. However, they have taken home nearly 25% in dividend payoffs during the same period. Not a bad return in this zero interest rate world.
The origins of the special tax breaks that led to the creation of these most complex of securities are lost in the sands of time. As I recall, they date back to a period when the US was chronically short of oil, and industry desperately needed the big ticket infrastructure to produce and deliver it.
They worked like a charm. Never underestimate the desire of the American investor to avoid paying taxes.
An MLP is a ?pass through? instrument that allows profits to move directly to end investors, thus bypassing corporate double taxation. That set up generates enormous yields that are particularly attractive to individual investors. Some 114 MLP?s now exist, and most can be bought on public exchanges as easily as stocks or exchange traded funds (ETF?s).
It is an old Wall Street nostrum to feed the geese while they are quacking, and investment bankers have done so in spades (see chart below). The number of initial public offering for MLP?s has soared in recent years, from just two in 1985 to a prolific 21 last year.
New issue volumes have become so prodigious that they are disrupting the dynamics of the secondary market. Investors are now unloading their existing MLP?s to make room for the new ones, setting back prices on existing issues. The same disease is also afflicting biotech stocks, where an overly ambitious new issue calendar triggered dramatic falls in the sector.
Will Wall Street kill the gold goose yet again?
MLP?s have benefited enormously from the fracking and horizontal drilling boom now unfolding across the United States. As a result, US energy demand is at a 30 year high, and so is the demand for energy infrastructure.
As I often tell my guests at my Global Strategy Luncheons, the smart play in natural gas, where supplies are burgeoning, is a volume play, and not a price play. MLP?s achieve exactly that.
To qualify for MLP status, a partnership must generate at least 90 percent of its income from what the Internal Revenue Service deems ?qualifying? sources. For many MLPs, these include all manner of activities related to the production, processing or transportation of oil, natural gas, and coal.
Energy MLPs are defined as owning energy infrastructure in the U.S., including pipelines, natural gas, gasoline, oil, storage, terminals, and processing plants. These are all special tax subsidies put into place when oil companies suffered from extremely low oil prices. Once on the books, they lived on forever.
In practice, MLPs pay their investors through quarterly distributions. Typically, the higher the quarterly distributions paid to LP unit holders, the higher the management fee paid to the general partner. The idea is that the GP has an incentive to try to boost distributions through pursuing income-accretive acquisitions and organic growth projects.
Because MLPs are partnerships, they avoid the corporate income tax, on both a state and federal basis. Instead of getting a form 1099-DIV and the end of the year, you receive a form K-1, which your accountant should know how to handle.
Additionally, the limited partner (investor) may also record a pro-rated share of the MLP?s depreciation on his or her own tax forms to reduce liability. This is the primary benefit of MLPs and gives MLPs relatively cheap funding costs.
The tax implications of MLPs for individual investors are complex. The distributions are taxed at the marginal rate of the partner, unlike dividends from qualified stock corporations. On the other hand, there is no advantage to claiming the pro-rated share of the MLP?s depreciation (see above) when held in a tax-deferred account, like an IRA or 401k. To encourage tax-deferred investors, many MLP?s set up corporation holding companies of LP claims which can issue common equity.
The popularity of MLP?s has caused a huge inflow of capital, which has caused yields to crash, from 25% during the dark days of 2009, to an average of 6.7% today. Still, yield starved investors threw money at MLP?s with both hands last year, an eye popping $11.9 billion, according to figures from the tracking firm, Morningstar.
As yields have plunged, risks have risen. In February, Houston based Boardwalk Pipeline Partners (BWP), out of the blue, dramatically cut its payout to investors. A panic ensued, chopping 62% off the value of the shares in the following weeks. No doubt, increased competition for pipelines from railroads was a factor.
To protect yourself you must go to the website and read the prospectus before sending a check to an MLP. Unfortunately, these are so complex that even degrees in securities and tax law might not be enough to help you. What do you do instead? Pray, as seems to be the strategy of most individual investors.
At the end of the day, oil has a big influence on MLP prices. So the antics of Vladimir Putin in the Ukraine are probably a welcome development for MLP holders, as it has helped boost the price of Texas tea from $91 to $105 since the beginning of 2014.
However, get a real recession, and one will be overdue in a couple of years, and the price of oil will collapse once again, causing MLP?s to revisit those subterranean 2009 lows. Mothballed drilling rigs and rusting pipelines don?t produce lease payments or pay dividends. These are the risks you are being paid to take with a double-digit yield.
The lesson here is ?be nimble, or die".
Global Market Comments
April 14, 2014
Fiat Lux
Featured Trade:
(JULY 7 ROME, ITALY STRATEGY LUNCHEON),
(CASHING IN ON MY SHORTS),
(VXX), (VIX), (SPY), (TLT), (FXY), (QQQ),
(TESTIMONIAL),
(WHERE IS THE MARKET BOTTOM?),
(SPY), (QQQ)
iPath S&P 500 VIX ST Futures ETN (VXX)
VOLATILITY S&P 500 (^VIX)
SPDR S&P 500 (SPY)
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond (TLT)
CurrencyShares Japanese Yen Trust (FXY)
PowerShares QQQ (QQQ)
Global Market Comments
April 11, 2014
Fiat Lux
Featured Trade:
(FRIDAY APRIL 25 SAN FRANCISCO STRATEGY LUNCHEON)
(MAD HEDGE FUND TRADER BLASTS TO NEW ALL TIME HIGH)
(SPY), (IWM), (VXX), (TLT), (GE),
?(GS), (FXY), (UUP), (GLD), (USO),
(THE RETURN OF PETER THE GREAT), (RSX)
SPDR S&P 500 (SPY)
iShares Russell 2000 (IWM)
iPath S&P 500 VIX ST Futures ETN (VXX)
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond (TLT)
General Electric Company (GE)
The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (GS)
CurrencyShares Japanese Yen Trust (FXY)
PowerShares DB US Dollar Index Bullish (UUP)
SPDR Gold Shares (GLD)
United States Oil (USO)
Market Vectors Russia ETF (RSX)
The industry beating performance of the Mad Hedge Fund Trader?s Trade Alert Service has maintained its gobsmacking pace from last year, picking up another 14.5% profit so far in 2014.
The Dow Average was down a pitiful 1% during the same period, pegging my outperformance of the index at a stunning 15.50%. April alone is up a blistering 6.89%. The trailing 12-month return is 44.4%.? 2013 closed with a total return for followers of 67.45%.
The three-year return is now an amazing 137%, compared to a far more modest increase for the Dow Average during the same period of only 31%. That brings my averaged annualized return up to 40.8%. Not bad in this zero interest rate world. It?s better than a poke in the eye with a sharp stick.
This has been the profit since my groundbreaking trade mentoring service was launched in 2010. Thousands of followers now earn a full time living solely from my Trade Alerts, a development of which I am immensely proud of.
Not a day goes by without finding grateful emails thanking me for changing their lives. Stories abound of mortgages paid off, college educations financed, and aging parents supported. Quite a few use my award winning mentoring service to finally achieve financial independence and told their bosses to go jump off a bridge.
I won?t pass on the pictures they sent me. To read the plaudits yourself, please go to my testimonials page. They are all real.
The hot streak continues.
I have been bearish on the market for a month now. I have been using every rally to sell the market short. I bought puts and put spreads in the S&P 500 (SPY), the Russell 2000 (IWM). I also built up a major long position in the (VXX), betting on a serious market swoon occurring sometime in May.
In the meantime, I quickly stopped out of long positions I had in Goldman Sachs (GS), General Electric (GE), and a short position in the Japanese yen (FXY).
I covered the case for my ultra bearish posture in detail at my April 9 Global Strategy webinar. There I posted charts showing that best case, the (SPY) is in for an 8% selloff, and worst case, is about to perform a 17% swan dive (click here for the Webinar page). Treasuries (TLT) should rocket, and the dollar (UUP) will take a dive, and gold (GLD) will get a love tap. Even crude oil (USO) is benefiting from a flight to safety bid.
My esteemed colleague, Mad Day Trader Jim Parker, was no small part of this success. Since the market became technically and momentum driven, I have been conferring with him before sending out every Trade Alert. Together, our success rate is 100%.
What would you expect with a combined 85 years of market experience between the two of us? Followers are laughing all the way to the bank.
Don?t forget that Jim clocked an amazing 2013 of a staggering 374%. That is just for an eight-month year! Followers are laughing all the way to the bank.
The coming year promises to deliver a harvest of new trading opportunities. The big driver will be a global synchronized recovery that promises to drive markets into the stratosphere in 2014.
The Trade Alerts should be coming hot and heavy. Please join me on the gravy train. You will never get a better chance than this to make money for your personal account.
Global Trading Dispatch, my highly innovative and successful trade-mentoring program, earned a net return for readers of 40.17% in 2011, 14.87% in 2012, and 67.45% in 2013.
The service includes my?Trade Alert Service?and my daily newsletter, the Diary of a Mad Hedge Fund Trader. You also get a real-time trading portfolio, an enormous trading idea database, and live biweekly strategy webinars, order?Global Trading Dispatch PRO?adds Jim Parker?s?Mad Day Trader?service.
To subscribe, please go to my website at www.madhedgefundtrader.com, find the ?Global Trading Dispatch? or "Mad Hedge Fund Trader PRO" box on the right, and click on the blue ?SUBSCRIBE NOW? button.
Global Market Comments
April 10, 2014
Fiat Lux
Featured Trade:
(LAS VEGAS WEDNESDAY, MAY 14 GLOBAL STRAGEGY LUNCHEON)
(INCLINE VILLAGE STRATEGY LUNCH REVIEW),
(TESTIMONIAL),
(2014 EUROPEAN STRATEGY LUNCHEONS)
Legal Disclaimer
There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. MadHedgeFundTrader.com and all individuals affiliated with this site assume no responsibilities for your trading and investment results. The indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features are for educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice. Information for futures trading observations are obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but we do not warrant its completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the trading observations is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness of the information. You must assess the risk of any trade with your broker and make your own independent decisions regarding any securities mentioned herein. Affiliates of MadHedgeFundTrader.com may have a position or effect transactions in the securities described herein (or options thereon) and/or otherwise employ trading strategies that may be consistent or inconsistent with the provided strategies.
This site uses cookies. By continuing to browse the site, you are agreeing to our use of cookies.
OKLearn moreWe may request cookies to be set on your device. We use cookies to let us know when you visit our websites, how you interact with us, to enrich your user experience, and to customize your relationship with our website.
Click on the different category headings to find out more. You can also change some of your preferences. Note that blocking some types of cookies may impact your experience on our websites and the services we are able to offer.
These cookies are strictly necessary to provide you with services available through our website and to use some of its features.
Because these cookies are strictly necessary to deliver the website, refuseing them will have impact how our site functions. You always can block or delete cookies by changing your browser settings and force blocking all cookies on this website. But this will always prompt you to accept/refuse cookies when revisiting our site.
We fully respect if you want to refuse cookies but to avoid asking you again and again kindly allow us to store a cookie for that. You are free to opt out any time or opt in for other cookies to get a better experience. If you refuse cookies we will remove all set cookies in our domain.
We provide you with a list of stored cookies on your computer in our domain so you can check what we stored. Due to security reasons we are not able to show or modify cookies from other domains. You can check these in your browser security settings.
These cookies collect information that is used either in aggregate form to help us understand how our website is being used or how effective our marketing campaigns are, or to help us customize our website and application for you in order to enhance your experience.
If you do not want that we track your visist to our site you can disable tracking in your browser here:
We also use different external services like Google Webfonts, Google Maps, and external Video providers. Since these providers may collect personal data like your IP address we allow you to block them here. Please be aware that this might heavily reduce the functionality and appearance of our site. Changes will take effect once you reload the page.
Google Webfont Settings:
Google Map Settings:
Vimeo and Youtube video embeds: