Global Market Comments
September 6, 2013
Fiat Lux
Featured Trade:
(MAD HEDGE FUND TRADER HITS NEW ALL TIME HIGH)
(SAN FRANCISCO STRATEGY LUNCHEON POSTPONED TO NOVEMBER 1),
(THE TAX RATE FALLACY),
(THE COOLEST TOMBSTONE CONTEST)
Global Market Comments
September 6, 2013
Fiat Lux
Featured Trade:
(MAD HEDGE FUND TRADER HITS NEW ALL TIME HIGH)
(SAN FRANCISCO STRATEGY LUNCHEON POSTPONED TO NOVEMBER 1),
(THE TAX RATE FALLACY),
(THE COOLEST TOMBSTONE CONTEST)
The Trade Alert service of the Mad Hedge Fund Trader has posted a year-to-date gain of 40.53%, a new all time high. Performance since inception 33 months ago soared to 95.58%. This pegs the average annualized return at 34.75%.
Some 71% of all Trade Alerts since the beginning have been profitable. Carving out the closed 2013 trades alone, 41 out of 50 have made money, a success rate of 82%. It is a track record that most big hedge funds would kill for.
The performance spike brings to a close months of sideway action when the markets provided no clear trends. This summer seemed quieter than most. But I have had a hot hand since returning from my European Strategy Tour. Anticipating seasonal strength in the US dollar, I piled on short positions in the Japanese yen and the Euro. A long position in gold proved profitable. My short in the oil market has been volatile, and now sits close to my breakeven point.
The coming autumn promises to deliver a harvest of new trading opportunities. On the menu are the taper, a new Fed governor, a debt ceiling crisis, a possible war with Syria, and the death of the bull market in bonds. The Trade Alerts should be coming hot and heavy.
Global Trading Dispatch, my highly innovative and successful trade-mentoring program, earned a net return for readers of 40.17% in 2011 and 14.87% in 2012. The service includes my Trade Alert Service and my daily newsletter, the Diary of a Mad Hedge Fund Trader. You also get a real-time trading portfolio, an enormous trading idea database, and live biweekly strategy webinars, and Jim Parker?s Mad Day Trader service.
To subscribe, please go to my website at www.madhedgefundtrader.com, find the ?Global Trading Dispatch? box on the right, and click on the lime green ?SUBSCRIBE NOW? button.
Come join me for lunch at the Mad Hedge Fund Trader?s Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in San Francisco on Friday, November 1, 2013. An excellent meal will be followed by a wide-ranging discussion and an extended question and answer period.
I?ll be giving you my up to date view on stocks, bonds, currencies, commodities, precious metals, and real estate. And to keep you in suspense, I?ll be throwing a few surprises out there too. Tickets are available for $191.
I?ll be arriving at 11:00 and leaving late in case anyone wants to have a one on one discussion, or just sit around and chew the fat about the financial markets.
The lunch will be held at a private club in downtown San Francisco near Union Square that will be emailed with your purchase confirmation.
I look forward to meeting you, and thank you for supporting my research. To purchase tickets for the luncheons, please go to my online store.
When anyone starts lecturing you that the US has the highest tax rate in the industrialized world, just turn around, walk away, and pretend you never heard them. This person is either ignorant about this country?s taxation system, or is deliberately trying to deceive or mislead you.
According to a report released by the Internal Revenue Service, America?s tax collection agency, the top 400 individual tax returns filed in 2009 reported an average gross income of $358 million each. The average amount of tax paid by these individuals came to under 17%, less than half the maximum Federal rate of 39.5%, which kicks in on annual income over $388,350 (click here for the 2012 tax tables). This explains why Warren Buffet pays a much lower tax rate than his secretary. It really is true that in America, only the poor people pay taxes.
Look at any international comparison of taxes to GDP, and one can always find the United States at the bottom of the table. Low American taxes are one of the main reasons why I moved my company here from England 19 years ago, fleeing their hellacious then 15% VAT tax. Take a look at the Fortune 500, where one third of the largest companies pay no tax at all, and many that dominate the top of the list, like the oil majors, pay only token amounts. In 2010, General Electric (GE), one of the most profitable companies in the world, paid a 3% tax rate. However, if any politician wants to pander to voters during election time on a tax cutting platform he will only bluster on about ?tax rates?, not actual taxes paid.
What the US has that other countries lack is the 100,000 pages of the Internal Revenue Code. It is a 100 year accumulation of deductions, accelerated depreciation rates, tax credits, and other tax breaks that are the end product of intensive lobbying efforts and bribes by special interest groups, corporations, unions, and even religious groups. Take a look at the oil industry again. The oil depletion allowance permits drillers to deduct a substantial portion of the cost of a new well in the first year, while spreading the income over the extended life of the well. ?(Click here for its fascinating history, Oil Depletion Allowance.) When I first got into the oil and gas business a decade ago, after reading the relevant sections of the tax code, I couldn?t understand why everyone wasn?t drilling for Texas tea.
I have a very simple solution to the country?s budget deficit problem. Hit the reset button. Eliminate the Internal Revenue Code. Just set it on fire. Keep the existing progressive, hockey stick tax rates on income, but eliminate all deductions. And I mean everything; deductions for dependents, home mortgage interest, medical expenses, charitable contributions, the works. There are no sacred cows. My revised Form 1040 would have only three lines on it:
Income?????? ______________
Tax Rate??? ______________
Tax Due???? ______________
The budget deficit would disappear overnight. Government spending would shrink dramatically, because you could ditch most of the 100,000 who work for the IRS. Some 1.3 million auditors and CPA?s would have to hit the road in search of new work too. The amount of money that is wasted on tax collection in this country is truly staggering. This is not some pie in the sky concept. This is how taxation already works in most countries, and they seem to get along just fine.
In fact, the whole scheme might even pay for itself.
To prove that The Diary of a Mad hedge Fund Trader only deals with the highest quality, top drawer clientele, I want to share the picture below sent in by a subscriber.
Global Market Comments
September 5, 2013
Fiat Lux
Featured Trade:
(OCTOBER 18 SAN FRANCISCO STRATEGY LUNCHEON)
(TAKING PROFITS ON MY EURO SHORT),
?(FXE), (EURO),
(POPULATION BOMB ECHOES),
(POT), (MOS), (AGU), (WEAT), (CORN), (SOYB), (RJA)
CurrencyShares Euro Trust (FXE)
Potash Corp. of Saskatchewan, Inc. (POT)
The Mosaic Company (MOS)
Agrium Inc. (AGU)
Teucrium Wheat (WEAT)
Teucrium Corn (CORN)
Teucrium Soybean (SOYB)
ELEMENTS Rogers Intl Commodity Agri ETN (RJA)
Come join me for lunch at the Mad Hedge Fund Trader?s Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in San Francisco on Friday, November 1, 2013. An excellent meal will be followed by a wide-ranging discussion and an extended question and answer period.
I?ll be giving you my up to date view on stocks, bonds, currencies, commodities, precious metals, and real estate. And to keep you in suspense, I?ll be throwing a few surprises out there too. Tickets are available for $191.
I?ll be arriving at 11:00 and leaving late in case anyone wants to have a one on one discussion, or just sit around and chew the fat about the financial markets.
The lunch will be held at a private club in downtown San Francisco near Union Square that will be emailed with your purchase confirmation.
I look forward to meeting you, and thank you for supporting my research. To purchase tickets for the luncheons, please go to my online store.
Global Market Comments
September 4, 2013
Fiat Lux
Featured Trade:
(WHY I?M KEEPING MY OIL SHORT),
(USO), (SCO),
(A COW BASED ECONOMICS LESSON),
(ON THAT TESLA RECOMMENDATION), (TSLA)
United States Oil (USO)
ProShares UltraShort DJ-UBS Crude Oil (SCO)
Tesla Motors, Inc. (TSLA)
SOCIALISM -You have 2 cows. You give one to your neighbor.
COMMUNISM -You have 2 cows. The State takes both and gives you some milk.
FASCISM -You have 2 cows. The State takes both and sells you some milk.
NAZISM -You have 2 cows. The State takes both and shoots you.
BUREAUCRATISM -You have 2 cows. The State takes both, shoots one, milks the other, and then throws the milk away.
TRADITIONAL CAPITALISM -You have two cows. You sell one and buy a bull. Your herd multiplies, and the economy grows. You sell them and retire on the income.
ROYAL BANK OF SCOTLAND (VENTURE) CAPITALISM -You have two cows. You sell three of them to your publicly listed company, using letters of credit opened by your brother-in-law at the bank, then execute a debt/equity swap with an associated general offer so that you get all four cows back, with a tax exemption for five cows. The milk rights of the six cows are transferred via an intermediary to a Cayman Island Company secretly owned by the majority shareholder who sells the rights to all seven cows back to your listed company. The annual report says the company owns eight cows, with an option on one more. You sell one cow to buy a new president of the United States, leaving you with nine cows. No balance sheet provided with the release. The public then buys your bull.
SURREALISM -You have two giraffes. The government requires you to take harmonica lessons.
AN AMERICAN CORPORATION -You have two cows. You sell one, and force the other to produce the milk of four cows. Later, you hire a consultant to analyze why the cow has dropped dead.
A FRENCH CORPORATION -You have two cows. You go on strike, organize a riot, and block the roads, because you want three cows.
A JAPANESE CORPORATION -You have two cows. You redesign them so they are one-tenth the size of an ordinary cow and produce twenty times the milk. You then create a clever cow cartoon image called a Cowkimona and market it worldwide.
AN ITALIAN CORPORATION -You have two cows, but you don?t know where they are. You decide to have lunch.
A SWISS CORPORATION -You have 5000 cows. None of them belong to you. You charge the owners for storing them.
A CHINESE CORPORATION -You have two cows. You have 300 people milking them. You claim that you have full employment, and high bovine productivity. You arrest the newsman who reported the real situation.
AN INDIAN CORPORATION -You have two cows. You worship them.
A BRITISH CORPORATION -You have two cows. Both are mad.
AN IRAQI CORPORATION -Everyone thinks you have lots of cows. You tell them that you have none. No-one believes you, so they bomb the ** out of you and invade your?country. You still have no cows, but at least you are now a Democracy.
AN AUSTRALIAN CORPORATION -You have two cows. Business seems pretty good. You close the office and go for a few beers to celebrate.
A NEW ZEALAND CORPORATION -You have two cows. The one on the left looks very attractive. The one on the right is very nervous.
Will the person who bought Tesla shares (TSLA) on my recommendation last year at $30 please email me? I was traveling in Europe over the summer and lost your email address. I would like to get a testimonial from you. The stock hit $173.70 today, and is up 580% from your cost, making it the top performing US stock this year.
With the money you?ve made you can probably buy a Tesla now. I recommend the high performance Model S-1 with the upgraded sound system and the 270-mile range. I have one, and they are to die for. It?s the only car I ever bought where the specifications keep improving every month with each automatic software update. Or you can wait until next year and by the four-wheel drive SUV Model X. I am on the waiting list for that one.
You owe me.
Legal Disclaimer
There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. MadHedgeFundTrader.com and all individuals affiliated with this site assume no responsibilities for your trading and investment results. The indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features are for educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice. Information for futures trading observations are obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but we do not warrant its completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the trading observations is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness of the information. You must assess the risk of any trade with your broker and make your own independent decisions regarding any securities mentioned herein. Affiliates of MadHedgeFundTrader.com may have a position or effect transactions in the securities described herein (or options thereon) and/or otherwise employ trading strategies that may be consistent or inconsistent with the provided strategies.
This site uses cookies. By continuing to browse the site, you are agreeing to our use of cookies.
OKLearn moreWe may request cookies to be set on your device. We use cookies to let us know when you visit our websites, how you interact with us, to enrich your user experience, and to customize your relationship with our website.
Click on the different category headings to find out more. You can also change some of your preferences. Note that blocking some types of cookies may impact your experience on our websites and the services we are able to offer.
These cookies are strictly necessary to provide you with services available through our website and to use some of its features.
Because these cookies are strictly necessary to deliver the website, refuseing them will have impact how our site functions. You always can block or delete cookies by changing your browser settings and force blocking all cookies on this website. But this will always prompt you to accept/refuse cookies when revisiting our site.
We fully respect if you want to refuse cookies but to avoid asking you again and again kindly allow us to store a cookie for that. You are free to opt out any time or opt in for other cookies to get a better experience. If you refuse cookies we will remove all set cookies in our domain.
We provide you with a list of stored cookies on your computer in our domain so you can check what we stored. Due to security reasons we are not able to show or modify cookies from other domains. You can check these in your browser security settings.
These cookies collect information that is used either in aggregate form to help us understand how our website is being used or how effective our marketing campaigns are, or to help us customize our website and application for you in order to enhance your experience.
If you do not want that we track your visist to our site you can disable tracking in your browser here:
We also use different external services like Google Webfonts, Google Maps, and external Video providers. Since these providers may collect personal data like your IP address we allow you to block them here. Please be aware that this might heavily reduce the functionality and appearance of our site. Changes will take effect once you reload the page.
Google Webfont Settings:
Google Map Settings:
Vimeo and Youtube video embeds: