As a potentially profitable opportunity presents itself, John will send you an alert with specific trade information as to what should be bought, when to buy it, and at what price. This is your chance to ?look over? John Thomas? shoulder as he gives you unparalleled insight on major world financial trends BEFORE they happen. Read more
As a potentially profitable opportunity presents itself, John will send you an alert with specific trade information as to what should be bought, when to buy it, and at what price. Read more
As a potentially profitable opportunity presents itself, John will send you an alert with specific trade information as to what should be bought, when to buy it, and at what price. This is your chance to ?look over? John Thomas? shoulder as he gives you unparalleled insight on major world financial trends BEFORE they happen. Read more
As a potentially profitable opportunity presents itself, John will send you an alert with specific trade information as to what should be bought, when to buy it, and at what price. Read more
As a potentially profitable opportunity presents itself, John will send you an alert with specific trade information as to what should be bought, when to buy it, and at what price. This is your chance to ?look over? John Thomas? shoulder as he gives you unparalleled insight on major world financial trends BEFORE they happen.
Further Update to: Trade Alert -(TLT)
Buy the iShares Barclay 20+ Year Treasury Bond Fund (TLT) July, 2014 $118-$121 in-the-money bear put spread at $2.55 or best
Opening Trade
5-29-2013
expiration date: July 18, 2014
Portfolio weighting: 10%
Number of Contracts = 39 contracts
We?ve just had a four point run in the latest leg up in the incredible bull market in bonds. We could be in for some month end profit taking. The upper $118 strike works out to a 10 Year Treasury Bond yield of 2.27%.
As long as yields stay above that by the July 18 expiration, we will keep the entire profit on this trade. Better yet, get a three point dip anywhere along the way and we will immediately reap 75% of the profit, as we did with our last (TLT) bear put spread.
I think this week flushed out a lot of the hotter short term money from the market in the humongous short squeeze that I warned you about. Positioning is now flatter. Mad Day Trader Jim Parker also thinks we could be in for a major trend reversal with next week?s Friday nonfarm payroll report.
In the meantime, the (TLT) could rise as much as a point higher to $116. That still gives me plenty of breathing room with this position, which has a breakeven point at $118.45, or a ten year Treasury yield of 2.25%. That sounds like a pretty good bet for me, now that we are headed into the slower summer months.
The best execution can be had by placing your bid for the entire spread in the middle market and waiting for the market to come to you. The difference between the bid and the offer on these deep in-the-money spread trades can be enormous. Don?t execute the legs individually or you will end up losing much of your profit.
Keep in mind that these are ballpark prices only. Spread pricing can be very volatile on expiration months farther out.
Here are the specific trades you need to execute this position:
Buy 39 July, 2014 (TLT) $121 puts at?????$6.90
Sell short 39 July, 2014 (TLT) $118 puts at..??.$4.35
Net Cost:??????????????????.....$2.55
Potential Profit: $3.00 - $2.55 = $0.45
(39 X 100 X $0.45) = $1,755 or 1.76% profit for the notional $100,000 portfolio.
As a potentially profitable opportunity presents itself, John will send you an alert with specific trade information as to what should be bought, when to buy it, and at what price. This is your chance to ?look over? John Thomas? shoulder as he gives you unparalleled insight on major world financial trends BEFORE they happen. Read more
As a potentially profitable opportunity presents itself, John will send you an alert with specific trade information as to what should be bought, when to buy it, and at what price. Read more
As a potentially profitable opportunity presents itself, John will send you an alert with specific trade information as to what should be bought, when to buy it, and at what price. This is your chance to ?look over? John Thomas? shoulder as he gives you unparalleled insight on major world financial trends BEFORE they happen. Read more
As a potentially profitable opportunity presents itself, John will send you an alert with specific trade information as to what should be bought, when to buy it, and at what price. This is your chance to ?look over? John Thomas? shoulder as he gives you unparalleled insight on major world financial trends BEFORE they happen.
Further Update to: Trade Alert -(AAPL)
Buy the Apple (AAPL) July, 2014 $540-$570 in-the-money bull call spread at $26.20 or best
Opening Trade
5-20-2014
expiration date: July 18, 2014
Portfolio weighting: 10%
Number of Contracts = 4 contracts
The fact that the stock has refused to back off after the earnings blowout upside gap is extremely positive. After two years of apathy, many institutional investors now find themselves underweight the stock.
This is all happening into the iPhone 6 release in September?.or sooner. The company could shock us all and announce as early as June. For many years now, the best trading strategy has been to own the stock into the big product releases, and sell it on the announcement. The Impending 7:1 share split should also provide another boost for the shares.
Apple is easily the most compelling value play in the market today. Its cash mountain is now an unbelievable $170 billion, and it just borrowed $17 billion against the offshore portion, almost interest free. However, this is definitely not a case where you buy the stock instead of the July, 2014 $540-$570 in-the-money bull call spread.
If the shares move sideways for another month, you make money. With the stock you don?t. Buying stock outright is something you should have done last summer, when (AAPL) was at a lowly $385 a share. It is now 57% higher.
There may not be enough money in the world to push the shares of the world?s largest company up substantially higher from here, which at yesterday?s close had an eye popping market capitalization of $521 billion.
The best execution can be had by placing your bid for the entire spread in the middle market and waiting for the market to come to you. The difference between the bid and the offer on these deep in-the-money spread trades can be enormous. Don?t execute the legs individually or you will end up losing much of your profit. Keep in mind that these are ballpark prices only. Spread pricing can be very volatile on expiration months farther out.
If the price of this spread has moved more than 5% by the time you receive this Trade Alert, don?t chase it. Wait for the next one. There are plenty of fish in the sea.
Here are the specific trades you need to execute this position:
Buy 4 July, 2014 (AAPL) $540 calls at?????$66.80
Sell short 4 July, 2014 (AAPL) $570 calls at..??.$40.60
Net Cost:??????????????????.....$26.20
Potential Profit: $30.00 - $26.20 = $3.20
(4 X 100 X $3.20) = $1,580 or 1.58% profit for the notional $100,000 portfolio.
As a potentially profitable opportunity presents itself, John will send you an alert with specific trade information as to what should be bought, when to buy it, and at what price. Read more
Legal Disclaimer
There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. MadHedgeFundTrader.com and all individuals affiliated with this site assume no responsibilities for your trading and investment results. The indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features are for educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice. Information for futures trading observations are obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but we do not warrant its completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the trading observations is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness of the information. You must assess the risk of any trade with your broker and make your own independent decisions regarding any securities mentioned herein. Affiliates of MadHedgeFundTrader.com may have a position or effect transactions in the securities described herein (or options thereon) and/or otherwise employ trading strategies that may be consistent or inconsistent with the provided strategies.