Mad Hedge Hot Tips
January 9, 2019
Fiat Lux

The Five Most Important Things That Happened Today
(and what to do about them)

 

1) Is the Fed a New Dove or is it Just Pretending? We’ll find out at 2:00 PM EST when the December meeting minutes are released. It could spell the top of this move up. Click here.  

2) The World Bank Cuts Global Growth Forecast, from 3.0% to 2.9%. Falling international trade, trade wars, and global instability are to blame. But is this a lagging indicator? Click here.  

3) Goldman Sachs Says Interest Rates Have Peaked in This Cycle, at 3.25% in the ten-year US Treasury bond. Maybe. But if they really knew what bonds were going to do, they would be making more money. If 3.25% was the peak, interest rates will go negative in the next recession. Sell Goldman on the next rally and get ready to refi that house. (GS). Click here.  

4) Equities are Matching Oil One to One on the Upside. So, better watch oil closely these days if you own equities. Click here.  

5) Hopes Continue of China Trade Talks. Unfortunately, “Hope” is not a viable trading strategy. Click here.  

Published today in the Mad Hedge Global Trading Dispatch and Mad Hedge Technology Letter:

2019 Annual Asset Class Review

A Global Vision

(TOP 8 TECH TRENDS OF 2018),

(GOOGL), (FB), (WMT), (SQ), (AMZN), (ROKU), (KR), (FDX), (UPS), (CRM), (TWLO), (ADBE), (PYPL)

Mad Hedge Hot Tips
January 7, 2019
Fiat Lux

The Five Most Important Things That Happened Today
(and what to do about them)

 

SPECIAL “2019 SURPRISES” ISSUE

1) The Fed Doesn’t Raise Interest Rates in 2019. Otherwise, the dramatic falls in stock prices alone will cause a recession. If they stay silent you, better sell into the next rally. The entire Trump rally will unwind down to $18,500. Click here.

2) The China Trade War Ends, with the US declaring victory even though we actually lose. That alone would be worth 3,000 Dow points. Soybean futures rocket.

3) The Government Shut Down Ends Quickly. Nancy Pelosi will offer Trump some that benefits the Democrats 1000 to 1, like a citizenship track for DACA residents and Trump will take it because it’s all about him declaring another huge victory.

4) US Q4 Earnings Come in Better Than Expected, up more than 10%, with a collapsing dollar triggering a surge in overseas profits.

5) The House Takes No Action to Impeach Donald Trump. When your enemy is committing suicide, why get in the way?

Don’t Miss The Mad Hedge 2019 Predictions on Wednesday at 12:00 EST. Click here.

 Published today in the Mad Hedge Global Trading Dispatch and Mad Hedge Technology Letter:

(DON’T MISS THE JANUARY 9 GLOBAL STRATEGY WEBINAR),

(TESTIMONIAL),

(DECODING THE GREENBACK),

(WHAT ABOUT ASSET ALLOCATION?)

(NOT TOO GOOD TO BE TRUE),
(SCHW), (FB), (SQ), (WMT), (AMZN), (FFIDX), (BOX)

Mad Hedge Hot Tips
December 20, 2018
Fiat Lux

The Five Most Important Things That Happened Today
(and what to do about them)

 

1) That Was Some Rate Hike! Only 25 basis points knock 900 points off the Dow Average in an hour. What if he had raised by 50 points? The Fed says the economy is great, the stock market says it isn’t. Still, down 4,000 points in less than three months, you’d think we’re getting close to a bottom. Click here.

2) New York Home Prices are in Free Fall, thanks to the loss of local and mortgage tax deductions in the Trump tax bill. California and New Jersey are following close behind. Goodbye, home ATM! Click here.

3) Online Sales up 18% Year on Year. Recession? What recession? Goodbye Sears (SHLDQ), goodbye Macy’s (M). Click here.

4) Weekly Mortgage Applications Down 5.8%, in one of the sharpest drops in years. How come we can see these numbers and the Fed can’t? Click here.

5) Weekly Jobless Claims Up 8,000, to 214,000. It’s amazing to see this number rising during the holiday season. Click here.
 

Published today in the Mad Hedge Global Trading Dispatch and Mad Hedge Technology Letter:

(THE GLASS HALF EMPTY MARKET)

($INDU), (SPY)

(HOW TO EXECUTE A VERTICAL BULL CALL SPREAD),

(AAPL)

(MICRON TECHNOLOGY BOMBS AGAIN)

(MU), (FDX), (UPS), (AAPL), (QRVO), (SWKS), (NXPI), (CRUS), (LITE),

Mad Hedge Hot Tips
December 18, 2018
Fiat Lux

The Five Most Important Things That Happened Today
(and what to do about them)

 

1) Some 90% of Global Asset Classes Are Now in Bear Markets. This could be the year that NO ONE made money. Good thing I’m Up 30%! Click here.

2) The Fed Is Pulling $50 Billion a Month Out of the Financial System. And you wondered why stocks were going down? Click here

3) Federal Budget Deficit Hits All-Time High in November. Look for the deficit to hit $1.3 trillion next year when entitlements are added in. Ramping up borrowing at the top of the economic cycle is financial suicide. At least the stock market thinks so. Click here.

4) The Auto Industry Expects Sales to Drop to a 5-year Low in 2019, according to the National Association of Automobile Dealers. No wonder investors have been avoiding the shares like the plague! Click here.

5) Only 53% of CEOs are Increasing Capital Spending in 2019, says a survey from the Chief Executive Group.  Maybe that’s what the market has been trying to tell us by doing a Dotcom Bust 2.0. Click here.
 

Published today in the Mad Hedge Global Trading Dispatch and Mad Hedge Technology Letter:

(THE CHRISTMAS RALLY GOT STOPPED AT THE BORDER),

(THE PASSIVE/AGGRESSIVE PORTFOLIO),

(ROM), (UYG), (UCC), (DIG), (BIB), (UGL), (UCD), (TBT),

(THE BIG TECHNOLOGY TRENDS OF 2019)

(MSFT), (AMZN), (BBY), (SONO), (ROKU), (ADBE), (AAPL), (BAC)

Mad Hedge Hot Tips
December 14, 2018
Fiat Lux

The Five Most Important Things That Happened Today
(and what to do about them)

1) Economic Optimism Plunges from 48% to 39%, according to a CNBC poll, the sharpest drop in the 12-year history of the survey. Other than that, how was the play, Mrs. Lincoln? Click here.

2) Mad Hedge Nails it With a Big Bond Short. Taking profits here to get out of the way of the Fed meeting next week. I’ll reestablish on the next three-point rally. Kaching! Click here.

3) Softbank Looking to Sell its NVIDIA Holdings, one of the graphics card maker's largest shareholders down, 50% from the peak. Why do I feel I have just been kicked in the cajones? The stock is in screaming “BUY” territory right here for long-term players. (NVDA). Click here.

4) “World Cup” was the Top Google Search Term of 2018, followed by “Hurricane Florence.” Someday Americans will understand this. How you can stay riveted for 90 minutes for a 1-0 score is beyond me. Isn’t it really all about the acting? Click here.

5) India was the Top Destination of Remitted US Earnings, at $80 billion last year, followed by China at $67 billion and the Philippines at $34 billion. That’s a lot of grandmas to support. Click here.

Published today in the Mad Hedge Global Trading Dispatch:

(DECEMBER 12 BI-WEEKLY STRATEGY WEBINAR Q&A),

(SPX), (MU), (PYPL), (SPOT), (FXE), (FXY), (XLF), (MSFT), (AMZN), (TSLA), (XOM), (MS)

(SIGN UP NOW FOR TEXT MESSAGING OF TRADE ALERTS)