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Mad Hedge Fund Trader

January 29, 2021

Diary, Newsletter, Summary

Global Market Comments
January 29, 2021
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:

(THE MAD HEDGE FUND TRADER’S FAVORITE ONLINE BROKER)

January 29, 2021/by Mad Hedge Fund Trader
https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2021-01-29 09:04:532021-01-29 10:28:30January 29, 2021
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

January 29, 2021 – Quote of the Day

Diary, Newsletter, Quote of the Day

“It’s a funny thing about life. If you refuse to accept anything but the best, you very often get it,” said British Novelist, Somerset Maugham.

January 29, 2021/by Mad Hedge Fund Trader
https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/02/Number-1.png 252 449 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2021-01-29 09:00:072021-01-29 10:19:25January 29, 2021 - Quote of the Day
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

January 28, 2021

Diary, Newsletter, Summary

Global Market Comments
January 28, 2021
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:

(THE LAZY MAN’S GUIDE TO TRADING),
(ROM), (UXI), (BIB), (UYG),
(TESTIMONIAL)

January 28, 2021/by Mad Hedge Fund Trader
https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2021-01-28 09:06:062021-01-28 12:58:32January 28, 2021
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Testimonial

Diary, Newsletter, Testimonials

Two years ago, I put my wife’s entire 401k into your “Lazy Man’s” portfolio. Then I forgot about it.

Yesterday, I opened it up to take a look at it and I almost fell out of my chair. It was up 50%! In only two years!

Thank you for under-promising and over-delivering. My wife thanks you even more for setting up a more comfortable retirement for the both of us.

Next time you’re in town, we would love to take you out to Billy Bob’s for dinner and we’ll buy you the biggest steak you have ever seen. They have a stock ring INSIDE the restaurant.

Thanks a “million”!

George
Fort Worth, Texas

January 28, 2021/by Mad Hedge Fund Trader
https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2021-01-28 09:02:562021-01-28 12:55:53Testimonial
MHFTF

January 28, 2021 – Quote of the Day

Diary, Newsletter, Quote of the Day

January 28, 2021/by MHFTF
https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/10/QOTD-Oct11.png 316 449 MHFTF https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png MHFTF2021-01-28 09:00:292021-01-28 10:04:09January 28, 2021 - Quote of the Day
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

January 27, 2021

Diary, Newsletter, Summary

Global Market Comments
January 27, 2021
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:

(A NEW THEORY OF TESLA, or WHY I’M RAISING MY TARGET TO $10,000),
(TSLA)

January 27, 2021/by Mad Hedge Fund Trader
https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2021-01-27 10:04:442021-01-27 11:06:12January 27, 2021
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

January 27, 2021 – Quote of the Day

Diary, Newsletter, Quote of the Day

“Making cars is hell”, said Tesla founder Elon Musk.

January 27, 2021/by Mad Hedge Fund Trader
https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/elon-musk.png 304 397 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2021-01-27 10:00:522021-01-27 11:27:50January 27, 2021 - Quote of the Day
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

January 26, 2021

Diary, Newsletter, Summary

Global Market Comments
January 26, 2021
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:

(WHY THE REAL ESTATE BOOM HAS A DECADE TO RUN),
(DHI), (LEN), (PHM), (ITB)

January 26, 2021/by Mad Hedge Fund Trader
https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2021-01-26 09:04:292021-01-26 11:31:05January 26, 2021
The Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Why the Real Estate Boom Has a Decade to Run

Diary, Newsletter

Lately, I have been getting a lot of calls from concerned readers worried that we might be going into another 2008-2011 style real estate crash, when home prices cratered by 50%-70%, once the pandemic ends.

It’s not going to happen and there are a dozen reasons why. Worst case, I expect a short, shallow pause in the market, followed by a ballistic move to new all-time highs.

If you had any doubt, look no further than the superheated bond market which took interest rates to new all-time lows, sparking a refi boom in the process.

You see, there is a method to my madness.

Apple (AAPL) is planning on building a second new research and development campus that will need 20,000 new high-tech workers. Google (GOOGL) plans to spend $13 billion on real estate acquisitions, and Amazon (AMZN) just flushed out of New York, will move those 25,000 jobs to more hospitable climates.

It is all fresh fuel for a continuation in the bull market for US residential real estate, not just for this year, but for another decade, or more. More high paying jobs means more big spending home buyers.

Although prices seem high now, I am convinced that we are only at the beginning of a long-term secular bull market in housing. If you don’t believe me, check out the sky-high prices in Shanghai, Vancouver, and Sydney Australia.

Anything you purchase now is going to make you look like a genius ten years down the road.

The best is yet to come.

The big driver will be demographics, of course.

From 2022 onward, 65 million Gen Xers will be joined by 85 million late-blooming Millennials in a bidding war for the same houses. That will create a market of 150 million buyers, unprecedented in the history of the American real estate market.

In the meantime, 80 million baby boomers, net sellers, and downsizers of homes for the past decade will slowly die off and disappear from the scene as a negative influence. Only one-third are still working.

The first boomer, Kathleen Casey-Kirschling, born seconds after midnight on January 1, 1946, just turned 75 years old. A former schoolteacher, she took early retirement at 62.

The real fat on the fire here is that 10 million homes went missing in action this decade, thanks to the financial crisis. They were never built.

This is the result of the bankruptcy of several homebuilding companies and the new-found ultra-conservatism of the survivors, like DR Horton (DHI), Lennar Homes (LEN), and Pulte Group (PHM).

Did I mention that all of this makes this sector a screaming “BUY”?

Talk to any real estate agent and they will complain about the shortage of inventory (except in Chicago, the slowest growing market in the country).

Prices are so high already that flippers have been squeezed out of the market for good. Bottom feeders, like hedge funds buying at the bankruptcy auctions, are a distant memory. Some, like BlackRock (BLK), now own more than 40,000 homes and are the biggest landlords in the county.

And let’s face it, ultra-low interest rates aren’t going to be here forever. Borrow at 3.0% today against a long-term 3.0% inflation rate, and you are essentially getting your house for free.

The rising rents that are turning Millennials from renters to buyers may be the first sign of real inflation beyond the increasingly dear healthcare and higher education that we’re are already seeing.

And Millennials are having kids that demand a bigger living space! Who knew?

 

 

 

 

Have I Got a Fixer-Upper for You!

January 26, 2021/by The Mad Hedge Fund Trader
https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/01/John-Fixer-Upper-e1484005396454.jpg 367 400 The Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png The Mad Hedge Fund Trader2021-01-26 09:02:142021-01-26 09:50:54Why the Real Estate Boom Has a Decade to Run
MHFTR

January 26, 2021 – Quote of the Day

Diary, Newsletter, Quote of the Day

“Everybody talks about the Volatility Index (VIX), but the new fear gauge is the 10-year Treasury bond,” said Art Cashin of UBS Financial Services.

Face of Fear

January 26, 2021/by MHFTR
https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/04/Face-of-Fear.jpg 270 286 MHFTR https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png MHFTR2021-01-26 09:00:472021-01-26 09:50:10January 26, 2021 - Quote of the Day
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There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. MadHedgeFundTrader.com and all individuals affiliated with this site assume no responsibilities for your trading and investment results. The indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features are for educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice. Information for futures trading observations are obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but we do not warrant its completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the trading observations is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness of the information. You must assess the risk of any trade with your broker and make your own independent decisions regarding any securities mentioned herein. Affiliates of MadHedgeFundTrader.com may have a position or effect transactions in the securities described herein (or options thereon) and/or otherwise employ trading strategies that may be consistent or inconsistent with the provided strategies.

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