Global Market Comments
February 24, 2025
Fiat Lux
Featured Trade:
(MARKET OUTLOOK FOR THE WEEK AHEAD, or THE DOWNSIDE OF DOGE, plus THE LAST GLASS OF KOOL-AID)
(SPY), (TLT), (GS), (VST), (TSLA), (WMT), (UNH)
Global Market Comments
February 24, 2025
Fiat Lux
Featured Trade:
(MARKET OUTLOOK FOR THE WEEK AHEAD, or THE DOWNSIDE OF DOGE, plus THE LAST GLASS OF KOOL-AID)
(SPY), (TLT), (GS), (VST), (TSLA), (WMT), (UNH)
“Apple is an electric utility now. People don’t want them changing the wall sockets. People will pay them not to change,” said Roger McNamee, cofounder of venture capitalist Elevation Partners.
Global Market Comments
February 21, 2025
Fiat Lux
Featured Trade:
(THE DEATH OF THE FINANCIAL ADVISOR)
“The car business is hell,” said founder Elon Musk, when announcing he would sleep in the Fremont Tesla factory until Model S production reached 2,500 units a week.
Global Market Comments
February 20, 2025
Fiat Lux
Featured Trade:
(HOW TO HEDGE YOUR CURRENCY RISK),
(FXA), (UUP),
(TESTIMONIAL)
Thanks for the advice, John.
Actually, I just got started with investing as I’ve been living close to the edge raising kids all these years. I had $100K that I could float for a few months so I had it in the Eaton Vance Tax-Managed Diversified Equity Income Fund (ETY) until my old golf buddy/broker told me about you and your Tesla (TSLA) advice.
So, I went all-in on December 30. It’s the best move I ever made. I’m an entrepreneur/risk-taker so I bought as much Apple (AAPL) and NVIDIA (NVDA) on the way down as I could, which obviously turned out far better than I ever hoped.
So, like I said, it seems now or never for me. So, I subscribed to your Mad Hedge Biotech & Healthcare Letter and I’m going to do the best I can with it.
Thanks a “million.”
Greg
Las Vegas, NV
Global Market Comments
February 19, 2025
Fiat Lux
Featured Trade:
(HOW TO HANDLE THE FRIDAY, FEBRUARY 21 OPTIONS EXPIRATION),
(AND MY PREDICTION IS….),
(TESTIMONIAL)
Followers of the Mad Hedge Fund Trader alert service have the good fortune to own three in-the-money options positions that expires on Friday, February 21, and I just want to explain to the newbies how to best maximize their profits.
This involves the:
Current Capital at Risk
Risk On
(NVDA) 2/$90-$95 call spread 10.00%
(VST) 2/$100-$110 call spread 10.00%
Risk Off
(TSLA) 2/$540-$550 put spread -10.00%
Total Net Position 10.00%
Total Aggregate Position 30.00%
Provided that we don’t have a monster move down in the market in two trading days, these positions should expire at their maximum profit points.
So far, so good.
I’ll take the example of the (TSLA) 2/$540-$550 put spread.
Your profit can be calculated as follows:
Profit: $10.00 expiration value - $8.80 cost = $1.20 net profit
(12 contracts X 100 contracts per option X $1.20 profit per option)
= $1,440 or 13.64% in 22 trading days.
Many of you have already emailed me asking what to do with these winning positions.
The answer is very simple. You take your left hand, grab your right wrist, pull it behind your neck, and pat yourself on the back for a job well done.
You don’t have to do anything.
Your broker (are they still called that?) will automatically use your long position to cover your short position, canceling out the total holdings.
The entire profit will be credited to your account on Monday morning, February 24, and the margin freed up.
Some firms charge you a modest $10 or $15 fee for performing this service.
If you don’t see the cash show up in your account on Monday, get on the blower immediately and find it.
Although the expiration process is now supposed to be fully automated, occasionally, machines do make mistakes. Better to sort out any confusion before losses ensue.
If you want to wimp out and close the position before the expiration, it may be expensive to do so. You can probably unload them pennies below their maximum expiration value.
Keep in mind that the liquidity in the options market understandably disappears, and the spreads substantially widen, when a security has only hours or minutes until expiration on Friday. So, if you plan to exit, do so well before the final expiration at the Friday market close.
This is known in the trade as the “expiration risk.”
One way or the other, I’m sure you’ll do OK, as long as I am looking over your shoulder, as I will be, always. Think of me as your trading guardian angel.
I am going to hang back and wait for good entry points before jumping back in. It’s all about keeping that “Buy low, sell high” thing going.
I’m looking to cherry-pick my new positions going into the next quarter end.
Take your winnings and go out and buy yourself a well-earned dinner.
Well done, and on to the next trade.
You Can’t Do Enough Research
"A fool learns from experience. A wise man learns from the experience of others," said Otto von Bismarck, the first Chancellor of Modern Germany.
Global Market Comments
February 18, 2025
Fiat Lux
Featured Trade:
(MARKET OUTLOOK FOR THE WEEK AHEAD or THE TALE OF TWO MARKETS)
(GS), (TSLA), (NVDA), (VST)
Legal Disclaimer
There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. MadHedgeFundTrader.com and all individuals affiliated with this site assume no responsibilities for your trading and investment results. The indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features are for educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice. Information for futures trading observations are obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but we do not warrant its completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the trading observations is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness of the information. You must assess the risk of any trade with your broker and make your own independent decisions regarding any securities mentioned herein. Affiliates of MadHedgeFundTrader.com may have a position or effect transactions in the securities described herein (or options thereon) and/or otherwise employ trading strategies that may be consistent or inconsistent with the provided strategies.
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