Featured Trade: (JULY 27 BASEL, SWITZERLAND GLOBAL STRATEGY LUNCHEON) (WELCOME TO GLOBAL TRADING DISPATCH), (WHY I HAVE BECOME SO BORING), (SPY), (QQQ), (IWM), (AAPL), (TSLA), (BIDU), (LNG)
SPY SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust QQQ PowerShares QQQ Trust IWM? iShares Russell 2000 ETF AAPL Apple Inc. TSLA Tesla Motors, Inc. BIDU Baidu, Inc. LNG Cheniere Energy, Inc.
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The Roads to Profits Are Many
As Are the Rewards
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?Sure, things are crazy now, but they can remain crazy for a little bit longer,? said a hedge fund trader friend of mine.
https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/11/Einstein-e1440525104892.jpg300233Mad Hedge Fund Traderhttps://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.pngMad Hedge Fund Trader2016-07-14 01:05:172016-07-14 01:05:17July 14, 2016 - Quote of the Day
As I boarded a Virgin Atlantic 747 to fly from New York to London a few weeks ago, who did I find in the seat next to me, but my old friend, Sir Richard Branson.
I first got to know the shaggy haired billionaire entrepreneur 36 years ago in London. I lived in a Georgian mansion I had lovingly restored in London?s Little Venice district, and he lived in a historic canal boat next door. The traffic in and out of his floating home was constant and never ending.
This was during his adventurer period, when he set a new record for crossing the Atlantic in a speedboat, and then repeated the feat in a high altitude balloon. He almost made it, crashing into the sea just west of Scotland.
It was about this time that he was traveling from Puerto Rico to the Virgin Islands to visit a new girlfriend. American Airlines cancelled the flight because there were not enough passengers.
So the ever enterprising Richard took up a collection among the grounded passengers and chartered a plane of his own, flying them all to his destination.
He knew he had had stumbled on the kernel of an idea. He spent the next day checking out lease rates for used 747?s.
A few months and a couple of government subsidies later, and the Virgin Atlantic Airways was born, pursuing a discount priced, premium service business model that has proven wildly successful.
I always fly Virgin, including the Atlantic, America, and Australia derivations.
British Airways did everything it could to put him out of business. It launched a fierce ?dirty tricks? campaign that included calling Virgin customers and telling them their flight was cancelled, and deliberately losing transferred luggage.
BA got busted, and ended up paying Virgin millions in damages. Some 33 years later, 18 Trans Atlantic competitors have gone bankrupt, while Virgin Atlantic prospers.
Once we were flying to Moscow together, he on one of his endless promotions (I think he drove a tank across Red Square), and me on some undisclosed government business (we won). He then asked me if I would like to land the plane going into Sheremetyevo Airport.
I said ?Sure.?
Flying into Moscow during the Cold War was a big deal, a logbook entry to be envied by other pilots and flight examiners alike.
So Richard escorted me into the cockpit and said, ?My friend, Captain Thomas, will be taking it in from here.? Without saying a word, the copilot stood up and I took the right hand seat. They knew the drill.
That was pure Richard, gracious all the way.
It wasn?t long after that that Richard almost killed himself bungee jumping off the top of a hotel in Las Vegas in a 50-knot wind. Then, his family finally asked him to take it easy.
I have the same problem.
These days I often bump into Sir Richard on the lecture circuit. I instruct the audience about how to make money in the stock market, as is my way. Richard then enthralls them on how to spend it.
We make a great team, although the ladies at the following receptions always seem far more interested in him than in me.
I wonder why?
Richard suffered a rare setback a couple of years ago when his Virgin Enterprise space ship crashed on a test flight while approaching 1.4 times the speed of sound, killing the pilot. He spent a day of soul searching with his team of 400 engineers, trying to gauge whether this was a fool?s errand.
In the end, he decided to continue on. Space is dangerous, and sometimes people die, but that is no reason to quit. His goal is to turn the project into a global airline that can take passengers from San Francisco to Australia in minutes, and ferry guests to his hotels in space.
Some 800 customers have already made $80 million in deposits on the inaugural space flight, joining the 500 who have already made it there since 1959.
Richard doesn?t think small.
He has suffered from dyslexia throughout his life, struggling to accomplish simple tasks that others do with ease. I have seen this before, a disability that supercharges people to overcome it, which they overshoot to accomplish great things.
To this day, he confesses to not having the slightest idea of how a balance sheet or income statement works. That?s quite a confession coming from a man who runs a global multibillion dollar empire. He was always the marketing guy, never the numbers man.
But he has a vague idea. One of his board members once drew a picture of fish being captured by a net in the sea. The water passing through the net was the gross sales, he explained, while the fish were the profit. He got it instantly.
Putting in an all nighter over brandy over the Atlantic discussing the important affairs of the world, Sir Richard and I arrived at Heathrow the next morning, somewhat the worse for wear.
He was met by an admiring staff, who whisked him off to a waiting Daimler limousine. I trudged off to customs and the Paddington Express.
?Next year,? I thought, ?Maybe next year.?
https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/07/Richard-Branson.jpg219488Mad Hedge Fund Traderhttps://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.pngMad Hedge Fund Trader2016-07-13 01:07:152016-07-13 01:07:15Flying with Sir Richard Branson
I?ll never forget when my friend, Don Kagin, one of the world?s top dealers in rare coins, walked into the gym one day and announced that he made $1 million that morning.? I enquired ?How is that, pray tell??
He told me that he was an investor and technical consultant to a venture hoping to discover the long lost USS Central America, which sunk in a storm off the Atlantic Coast in 1857, heavily laden with gold from the new state of California.
He just received an excited call that the wreck had been found in deep water off the US east coast.
I learned the other day that Don had scored another bonanza in the rare coins business. He had sold his 1787 Brasher Doubloon for $7.4 million. The price was slightly short of the $7.6 million that a 1933 American $20 gold eagle sold for in 2002.
The Brasher $15 doubloon has long been considered the rarest coin in the United States. Ephraim Brasher, a New York City neighbor of George Washington, was hired to mint the first dollar denominated coins issued by the new republic.
Treasury secretary Alexander Hamilton was so impressed with his work that he appointed Brasher as the official American assayer.
The coin is now so famous that it is featured in a Raymond Chandler novel where the tough private detective, Philip Marlowe, attempts to recover the stolen coin.
The book was made into a 1947 movie, ?The Brasher Doubloon,? starring George Montgomery.
This is not the first time that Don has had a profitable experience with this numismatic treasure. He originally bought it in 1989 for under $1 million, and has made several round trips since then.
The real mystery is who bought it last? Don wouldn?t say, only hinting that it was a big New York hedge fund manager who adores the barbarous relic. He hopes the coin will eventually be placed in a public museum.
Who says the rich aren?t getting richer?
https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/07/Brasher-Doubloon-e1440346073108.jpg379400Mad Hedge Fund Traderhttps://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.pngMad Hedge Fund Trader2016-07-13 01:06:442016-07-13 01:06:44The Mystery of the Brasher Doubloon
?They are energetic. They are very smart. But a lot of them?they are paper pushers. They make a fortune. They pay no tax. It?s ridiculous, OK?? said presidential candidate, Donald Trump.
https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/08/Donald-Trump-e1440622054323.jpg196300Mad Hedge Fund Traderhttps://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.pngMad Hedge Fund Trader2016-07-13 01:05:402016-07-13 01:05:40July 13, 2016 - Quote of the Day
Featured Trade: (WHAT?S ON YOUR PLATE FOR THIS WEEK?), (SPY), (TLT), (FXY), (FXE), (FXB), ?(GLD), (SLV), (WEAT), (USO), (VIX), (IS THE 30-YEAR MORTGAGE AN ENDANGERED SPECIES?), (TESTIMONIAL)
SPY SPDR S&P 500 TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond FXY CurrencyShares Japanese Yen FXE CurrencyShares Euro FXB CurrencyShares British Pound Sterling GLD SPDR Gold Shares SLV iShares Silver Trust WEAT Teucrium Wheat USO United States Oil ^VIX VOLATILITY S&P 500
Friday?s blockbuster nonfarm payroll report certainly will give markets a positive spin coming out of the gate this week.
Some 287,000 jobs were added last month, dwarfing the disappointing 38,000 figure seen for May. The headline unemployment came in at a decade low 4.9%.
With flip-flopping, on again, off again statistics like these, traders? lives have been made as hellacious as ever.
We should expect another low volume week of summer trading. However, price action may be extreme as traders and investors struggle to digest the implications of the post Brexit world.
I don?t belief Brexit will take place, but we may not know for sure for 3 months to a year. There won?t be a sudden, market-moving announcement, just a rising tide of legal and popular challenges that erode the likelihood that Britain will permanently leave the EC.
My bet is that stocks (SPY) make a few more feeble stabs at an upside breakout that fail, leading to yet another ferocious 5%-10% correction this summer. That is where you load the boat for a yearend rally.
Volatility (VIX), (VXX) will remain high. Trade the $14-$24 range.
That will lay the groundwork for Treasury bonds (TLT) to reach even more lofty highs. A sub 1.30% yield is within range.
Gold (GLD) will remain strong, silver (SLV) stronger.? The Japanese yen (FXY), (YCS), will stay frustratingly high, at least until the Bank of Japan acts, which could be any day.
The Euro (FXE), (EUO) will keep meandering as long as an economic dark cloud hangs over its head. The British pound (FXB) should break to new lows.
Oil will remain confused and indifferent as a structural 2 million barrel a day over supply is battered by temporary supply disruptions throughout the Middle East.
Peace in Libya among warring factions, now being negotiated, could bring a sudden oil price collapse.
The Ags will try to bottom again. But with the sun shining and the greenback strong, I am not holding my breath.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis president, noted centrist James Bullard, speaks a couple of times this week, and may indirectly confirm that the Fed intends to sit on its hands with it's interest rate policy for the foreseeable future.
The JOLTS report will come out at 10:00 AM EST on Tuesday and should confirm a level of job offerings consistent with a robust economy.
The Mortgage Applications report we get at 7:00 AM EST on Wednesday will give us the first peak at how the new ultra low interest rates triggered by Brexit are impacting home borrowing. My bet is that they are way up.
The most useless report this week will be the Fed?s Beige Book Minutes out at 2:00 PM EST Wednesday, as whatever conclusions that were reached were rendered moot in this post Brexit world.
The Weekly Jobless Claims at 8:30 AM EST on Thursday will confirm that unemployment remains close to a four decade low.
The finale for significant data releases for the week will be the Baker Hughes Rig Count out at 1:00 PM EST. This one is anyone?s guess.
With the Republican Convention only a week away, expect political distractions to ramp up. The Cleveland city fathers are nervous as hell. The Democrats will go silent, letting the Republicans hoist themselves on their own petard.
As for me, I will be moving my base of operations from Dubrovnik, on the Eastern Adriatic coast, to Zermatt, high in the Swiss Alps, where the WIFI is much better.
I?ll be making a pit stop in Florence, Italy to catch the ?Birth of Venus? at the Uffizi Gallery and the Statue of David at the Accademia.
https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/07/John-in-Front-of-Castle-e1468198487557.jpg400235DougDhttps://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.pngDougD2016-07-11 01:08:322016-07-11 01:08:32What?s On Your Plate for This Week?
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