Global Market Comments
June 21, 2021
Fiat Lux
Featured Trade:
(MARKET OUTLOOK FOR THE WEEK AHEAD, or IT’S CORRECTION TIME),
(SPY), (TLT), (JPM), (BRKB), (AMZN), (ADBE), (NVDA)
Global Market Comments
June 21, 2021
Fiat Lux
Featured Trade:
(MARKET OUTLOOK FOR THE WEEK AHEAD, or IT’S CORRECTION TIME),
(SPY), (TLT), (JPM), (BRKB), (AMZN), (ADBE), (NVDA)
OK, I’ll give it to you straight.
The market has just entered a correction that will take the Dow Average down precisely 7.81% from the recent 35,050 high down to 32,515. That just so happens to be the 150-day moving average.
During this time, interest rates will rise, possibly taking the ten-year US Treasury bond yield to 1.30% and the United States Treasury Bond Fund (TLT) to $151.
Technology stocks will take the lead this summer. After not moving for nearly a year, Amazon (AMZN) will take the lead, discounting last year’s 44% growth in sales. NVIDIA (NVDA) and Adobe will follow.
Bank stocks and other financials like JP Morgan Chase (JPM) and Berkshire Hathaway (BRKB) will suffer, dropping 10% so far and 20% before the crying is all over.
In other words, we just flipped from one half of the barbell to the other in a heartbeat. That will last until late summer to the fall. After that, we shift to the other side of the barbell.
That means the best opportunity to buy financials and sell short bonds in a year is setting up in the coming weeks, if not months.
That takes us until the end of 2021 when I expect another liquidity surge to take everything up. Then we all walk together hand in hand into the sunset signing glory halleluiah. It doesn’t get any easier than that.
I saw all of this coming at the beginning of the year, which is why I raced to rack up a 68.60% profit in the first half of the year and went 100% cash with the June 18 option expiration. I succeeded right on the money.
As for 2022, that is a different story entirely.
The big view here that the stock market is transitioning from an 80% gain to a 30% gain to a more normal average annualized 15% gain. The big game is how far in advance stocks will discount these smaller gains.
It will take a lot to get me off the bench and risk any of this hard-won profit. A Volatility Index (VIX) of over $35 would help (we closed at $20.70 on Friday). So would a Mad Hedge Market Timing Index under 20. So would JP Morgan under $127.
The Fed Takes a Turn, leaning towards more inflation. It is keeping interest rates unchanged at 0%-0.25% and continuing bond purchases at $120 billion a month. It is still sticking with the “transitory” argument on inflation but raised its full-year target from 2.4% to 3.4%, more than most expected. It went more specific on rate rises, predicting two 0.25% increases by the end of 2023. Bonds and technology stocks crashed, and inflation plays like banks, Bitcoin, and Berkshire Hathaway soared. The barbell strategy wins again!
The Big Rotation is On, with traders moving out of inflation plays and into big tech. That is the outcome of the shocking bond market spike that came out of last week’s 5% print for the Consumer Price Index. The Fed is telling the world that any inflation is temporary, and the world is believing them. It could give us a bond and tech rally that lasts a couple of months.
Commodities Crash, on a soaring US dollar and shrinking interest rates. The 15-month bull move is taking a summer vacation, unwinding 2X-10X moves racked up since the 2020 lows. Palladium took an 11% hit, with platinum off 7%, corn 6%, and copper 4%. Banks also sold off big as the whole inflation trade unwinds. Buy all of these on the next bottom for a rebound.
Shipping Costs are out of control for everything from everywhere to everywhere else. Transporting a 40-foot steel container of cargo by sea from Shanghai to Rotterdam now costs a record $10,522, up a whopping 547%. Tens of thousands of containers are on the wrong side of the Pacific. Shortages of truck drivers are extreme, with $50,000 signing bonuses rampant. It is one thing that could make continuing inflation pernicious.
If Copper sells off, it won’t be by much. Conventional internal combustion cars use 40 pounds of copper for wiring. EVs use 200 pounds for the heavy copper rotors in each wheel, in addition to two ounces of silver (SLV). EV production will rise from 700,000 units last year to 25 million by 2030. You do the math. There aren’t enough copper mines in the world to accommodate this demand and it takes five years to build a new one. Buy (FCX) on the next big dip. It’s going to $100 in five years.
Paul Tudor Jones says the Taper Tantrum is coming, despite last week’s perverse reaction by the bond market to the red hot 5% inflation rate. The Fed’s obsession with jobs only and not inflation will end in tears. My old client and legendary investor has 20% of his assets in inflation plays, including gold (GLD), Bitcoin, commodities, and short US Treasury bonds (TLT). When Paul is wrong, it’s usually not for very long.
Housing Starts up only 3.6% in May, to a seasonally adjusted 1.57 million units, with sky-high lumber and other materials prices a major drag. New Permits hit a seven-month low.
Weekly Jobless Claims jump to 412,000, the largest increase since March. Could the economy be slowing?
Tech Soars, getting a new lease on life with the collapse of interest rates last week. My favorite, Amazon (AMZN), picked up a healthy $80 yesterday on a 44% YOY gain in sales. Even Apple (AAPL) is coming back from the dead, up $2.00. I sent out long-term at-the-money LEAPS on these last week. It's hard to hold quality down for the long term.
Factory activity fell in June, for the second month in a row according to the Philly Fed, backing off from an all-time high in the spring. Parts and materials shortages are plaguing manufacturers everywhere as the economy struggles to escape from its pandemic torpor.
My Ten-Year View
When we come out the other side of pandemic, we will be perfectly poised to launch into my new American Golden Age, or the next Roaring Twenties. With interest rates still at zero, oil cheap, there will be no reason not to. The Dow Average will rise by 400% to 120,000 or more in the coming decade. The American coming out the other side of the pandemic will be far more efficient and profitable than the old. Dow 120,000 here we come!
My Mad Hedge Global Trading Dispatch profit reached 0.71% gain so far in June on the heels of a spectacular 8.13% profit in May. That leaves me 100% in cash.
My 2021 year-to-date performance appreciated to 68.60%. The Dow Average is up 8.8% so far in 2021.
I spent the week taking profits on the 40% in remaining positions either by selling or running them into the Friday expiration. My goal was to go 100% before the market completely fell to pieces and I succeeded handily. It’s going to be a grim summer.
I rang the cash register on Berkshire Hathaway (BRKB) and the S&P 500 (SPY), and my short in the (SPY). Perhaps my best trade of the year was stopping out of my short in the (TLT) for an $800 loss when it topped $140.
That brings my 11-year total return to 491.15%, some 2.00 times the S&P 500 (SPX) over the same period. My 11-year average annualized return now stands at an unbelievable 42.70%, easily the highest in the industry.
My trailing one-year return exploded to positively eye-popping 126.07%. I truly have to pinch myself when I see numbers like this. I bet many of you are making the biggest money of your long lives.
We need to keep an eye on the number of US Coronavirus cases at 33.1 million and deaths topping 600,000, which you can find here. Some 33.1 million Americans have contracted Covid-19.
The coming week will be a weak one on the data front.
On Monday, June 21 at 8:30 AM, the Chicago Fed National Activity Index is out.
On Tuesday, June 22 at 10:00 AM, Existing Home Sales for May is released
On Wednesday, June 23 at 10:00 AM, New Home Sales for May is published.
On Thursday, June 24 at 8:30 AM, the Weekly Jobless Claims are published. We also get US Durable Goods Orders for May.
On Friday, June 25 at 8:30 AM, US Personal Income & Spending for May are disclosed. At 2:00 PM, we learn the Baker-Hughes Rig Count.
As for me, with all the recent violence in the Middle East, I am reminded of my own stint in that troubled part of the world. I have been emptying sand out of my pockets since 1968, when I hitchhiked across the Sahara Desert, from Tunisia to Morocco.
During the mid-1970s, I was invited to a press conference given by Yasser Arafat, founder of the Al Fatah terrorist organization and leader of the Palestine Liberation Organization, at the Foreign Correspondents Club of Japan. His organization then rampaging throughout Europe, attacking Jewish targets everywhere.
Japan recognized the PLO to secure their oil supplies from the Persian Gulf, on which they were utterly dependent.
It was a packed room on the 20th floor of the Yurakucho Denki Building, and much of the world’s major press were represented, as the PLO had few contacts with the west.
Many placed cassette recorders on Arafat’s table in case he said anything quotable. Then Arafat ranted and raved about Israel in broken English.
Mid-sentence, one machine started beeping. A journalist jumped up to turn his tape over. Suddenly, four bodyguards pulled out Uzi machine guns and pointed them directly at us.
The room froze.
Then a bodyguard deftly set his Uzi down on the table, flipped over the offending cassette, and the remaining men stowed their weapons. Everyone sighed in relief. I thought it was interesting that the PLO was using Israeli firearms.
The PLO was later kicked out of Jordan for undermining the government there. They fled Lebanon for Tunisia after an Israeli invasion. Arafat was always on the losing side, ever the martyr.
He later shared a Nobel Prize for cutting a deal with Israel engineered by Bill Clinton in 1993, recognizing its right to exist. He died in 2004.
Many speculated that he had been poisoned by the Israelis. My theory is that the Israelis deliberately kept Arafat alive because he was so incompetent. That is the only reason he made it until 75.
Stay healthy.
John Thomas
CEO & Publisher
The Diary of a Mad Hedge Fund Trader
The Middle East Does Have Some Advantages
Mad Hedge Technology Letter
April 16, 2021
Fiat Lux
Featured Trade:
(SHOULD I BUY COINBASE TODAY?)
(COIN), (CRM), (ADBE), (PYPL), (SQ)
For all the cryptocurrency haters in the world, it’s getting harder to take that stand.
I’ll tell you why.
Coinbase (COIN) was the first major crypto business to go public in the U.S. when it began trading at $381 Wednesday morning on the Nasdaq and its IPO symbolizes the acceptance of an alternative digital asset class in technology.
Prior to this watershed moment, the only way to play crypto was through second derivatives plays like PayPal (PYPL) and Square (SQ) who have been handsomely rewarded through higher share prices.
Now, we get the biggest U.S. cryptocurrency exchange trading publicly that will allow exposure to mainstream stock-market investors.
The event has also been tabbed as a catalyst that might drive the adoption of incremental digital assets.
At the very least, this lays down a marker for further crypto-related companies eyeing the Nasdaq after Coinbase’s blowout success.
This also shows that the cryptocurrency infrastructure is developing rapidly and its budding credibility is something that needs to be acknowledged.
The Coinbase IPO was also the catalyst in sending bitcoin prices to almost $65,000.
No doubt that the appreciating asset has been the most attractive use case for the incremental investor and cryptocurrency buyer.
Many early investors who got into bitcoin at 20 cents are now billionaires many times over.
After such stunning success, it’s hard to believe that any fintech or cryptocurrency start-up would ever consider doing their IPO anywhere else but New York.
New York has the liquidity, the US dollar, and the capacity to receive such type of growth companies in bulk.
This is not only an emphatic victory for digital assets, but also for the US tech sector and a stamp of validation for the Nasdaq market.
Ironically enough, even during this trade war, Chinese tech companies are clamoring to go public in New York and not mainland China for the above reasons.
Here are a few other highly positive data points to digest that were talking points in their S-1 filing.
The overall market capitalization of crypto assets grew from less than $500 million to $782 billion between December 31, 2012, and December 31, 2020, representing a CAGR (compound annual growth rate) of over 150%.
Over the same period, Coinbase retail users grew from less than 13,000 to 43 million, a 175% CAGR.
I believe the total market cap of crypto is now around $2 trillion in April 2021.
And more recently, Coinbase has experienced significant growth in the number of institutions on their platform, increasing from over 1,000 as of December 31, 2017, to 7,000 as of December 31, 2020.
Bitcoin reported a nine-fold increase in Q1 revenue, to $1.8B, up from $190.6M the previous year.
Just like Google and Facebook benefit from a duopoly, Coinbase will benefit from being the only pure cryptocurrency option on the Nasdaq and that will put a floor under shares in the short-term.
The growth metrics of the company are also robust via a helping hand by the increasingly expensive price of bitcoin.
No doubt that this company’s prospects are tied to the hip with the prices of cryptocurrencies.
If the price of bitcoin retraces to $30,000, which it could because of the high volatility of it, expect Coinbase shares to dive with it.
This for all intents and purposes is a bet on the health and price trajectory of bitcoin for better or worse until other crypto-based choices are introduced which would give more layers and complexity to this sub-sector.
Bitcoin calls out Binance which they state as a competitor and Kraken is another exchange that is large and vying for the same capital.
I believe these two companies have a chance to go public and that is when you will really see the institutions jump on this crypto bandwagon.
More options and a foundational investment base will also promote stability in this new technology sub-sector.
Should you buy Coinbase today?
No.
I understand Coinbase’s growth metrics are off the charts with revenue growing 900%, but it’s not worth $100 billion market cap on just $1.8 billion of quarterly sales.
Investors would need solid tailwinds such as bitcoin passing $100,000 in 2021 for this company to be worth $100 billion and I just don’t see it.
Then also understand the cybersecurity and possible regulations are two risks that could blow up the business model at any moment which would take down the premium in the stock.
Yes, the meteoric rise of crypto at the start of 2021 has turned heads, but as the economy reopens, I do believe money will rotate from crypto back into traditional technology that is underpinned by cash cow businesses.
Highly profitable companies that aren’t FANGs are also set to deliver share appreciation to shareholders such as Salesforce (CRM) or a company like Adobe (ADBE) who earn profits of $5.27 billion on $13 billion of annual revenue.
I acknowledge that Coinbase’s IPO was the perfect time to go public.
They are taking advantage of easy money and low rates while the acceptance of this alternative asset class has never been higher.
However, I don’t see any more incremental growth in the short term and the stock is more than fully priced today.
The risk-reward is not favorable to pile into this stock now unless you have a bullish 50-year view on crypto and can’t wait.
This stock will go through volatility because of the inherent dynamics they are tied to and I would seriously look at buying Coinbase only on a massive sell-off.
Don’t go chasing unicorns.
At the end of the day, this is a real company with real revenue growth of 900% year-over-year. Slice it up anyway, and these numbers are numbers that attract investors, but the stock is too expensive right here.
Mad Hedge Technology Letter
November 30, 2020
Fiat Lux
Featured Trade:
(THE GREEN LIGHT FOR E-COMMERCE)
(AMZN), (W), (OSTK), (WMT), (TGT), (MELI), (EBAY), (CRM), (ADBE)
Data from Adobe Analytics is in and it suggests that e-commerce is delivering on its expected domination over retail.
I can’t ignore the helping hand of the pandemic which has deemed pedestrian shopping malls too dangerous to set foot in and for analog businesses that survive, it is essentially coming down to whether a digital footprint has been developed or not.
There is only so much a PPP loan can do to paper over the cracks of a non-digital business.
At some point, CEOs will need to wake up and understand that survival means a migration to digital.
Forecasts show that Black Friday online sales will register between $8.9 billion and $10.6 billion, which represents growth of up to 42% year over year.
The data firm expects Black Friday and Cyber Monday to become the two largest online sales days in history as consumers shift more spending toward e-commerce amid the public health crisis.
By last Friday morning, Salesforce projected online sales in the U.S. for Black Friday to spike 15% to $11.9 billion.
The truth is that many shoppers got their shopping done even before Thursday and Friday with digital sales in the U.S. spiking 72% year over year on Tuesday and were up 48% on Wednesday.
E-commerce companies front-ran the actual holidays to eke out more profit in the anticipation of competitors offering earlier sales.
According to Adobe, Thanksgiving sales hit a record $5.1 billion, up 21.5% over 2019 and this aggressive growth rate can be considered the new normal.
Smartphones continued to account for an increasing segment of online sales, with this year’s $3.6 billion up 25.3%, while alternative deliveries — a sign of the e-commerce space maturing — also continued to grow, with in-store and curbside pickup up 52% on 2019.
Shopify said that over 70% of its sales are being made using smartphones.
What are the hot gift items?
Electronics, tech, toys, and sports goods being the most popular categories — at the right price will help retailers continue to experience elevated sales volume.
Adobe said a survey of consumers found that 41% said they would start shopping earlier this year than previous years due to much earlier discounts.
This season is headed for record-breaking levels as consumers power online sales for both holiday gifts and necessities.
Not all big-box retailers were open over the holidays and getting that extra surge from the likes of daily needs such as paper towels, cleaning products, and garbage bags has boosted the top-line growth as well.
We have seen the perfect storm of elements fuse together to help the bottom line records of the likes we have never observed.
Comps will be difficult to beat next year if the vaccine solution starts coming online by next winter and considering that the worst economic damage is behind us.
Next year, the U.S. consumer will have more to spend setting up a tough but possible beat to next year’s numbers along with the high likelihood that tech stocks will experience another leg up.
There will be a lot happening in between, such as a new U.S. administration that is primed for a different economic polic; but it’s impossible not to love the narrative of certain e-commerce companies such as Shopify (SHOP), MercadoLibre (MELI), Target (TGT), Walmart (WMT), Etsy (ETSY), Wayfair (W), eBay (EBAY), Overstock.com (OSTK), Amazon (AMZN) and the companies that measure their data like Salesforce (CRM) and Adobe (ADBE).
If we ever could anoint when a year became the year of technology, then this would be it in 2020.
The base case for next year is that the borders and states will still grapple with the virus and the knock-on effects to society, economy, and politics as the capacity to produce the virus won’t meet demand for at least a year.
Tech stocks are primed to outperform non-tech next year and even though multiples are high, the momentum suggests that this group of stocks will be the gift that keeps giving as the Fed has offered generous liquidity conditions to tech investors.
Global Market Comments
July 8, 2020
Fiat Lux
Featured Trade:
(TRADING THE BLUE WAVE STOCK MARKET),
(FB), (AAPL), (MSFT), (AMZN), (ADBE), (SQ), (PYPL), (CRM), (SGEN), (REGN), (ILMN) (FEYE), (PANW), (AMD), (MU), (NVDA), (TSLA), (LEN), (PHM), (KBH), (XOM), (CVX), (XOM), (RTN), (NOC), (LMT), (KOL), (X), (GE)
At this point, it is possible that the president may lose the November election.
He is 14 points behind Democratic candidate Joe Biden in the polls. The odds at the London betting polls have him losing by a similar amount. My old employer The Economist magazine in London gives him a 10% chance of winning using a mix of economic and polling data.
And this assumes the election is held today. The fact is that the president is digging himself into a deeper hole every day, taking the wrong side of every issue confronting the country today. He seems to be refighting the Civil War….and taking the Confederate side when even the State of Mississippi is taking its symbol off its flag.
So, what will the post-Trump world look like? Will taxes go through the roof? Will the market crash? Is it time to go 100% cash, change our names, and move to a country with no US extradition treaty?
I don’t think so. In fact, with stocks soaring to meteoric new highs every day, the market expects that a Biden administration will be great news for stocks, perhaps the best ever.
Taxes will certainly go up. Favorable tax treatment of the energy, real estate, and private equity funds will get axed. Carried interest will finally become history. Marginal tax rate on net income over $1 billion could get hiked to the Roosevelt levels of 80-90%.
Biden has already announced an increase in the corporate tax rate from 21% to 28%. That will cut earnings for the S&P 500 by $9 a share. But the stock market is not the economy, with S&P earnings only accounting for 10% of US GDP.
And the $9 companies lose in taxes they will make back and more from new government spending, which isn’t slowing down any time soon. Some 14,000 American bridges need to be rebuilt. The Interstate Highway System is a shambles. High-speed broadband needs to go rural. The electrification of the US needs to accelerate to accommodate the millions of electric cars headed our way.
I believe that eventually, 51 million Americans will lose their jobs as a result of the pandemic. Perhaps a third of those are never coming back because the future has been so accelerated. That will leave the broader U-6 Unemployment rate stuck in double digits for years, maybe for decades.
So, we’re going to need some kind of Roosevelt style programs like the Works Progress Administration (WPA) and the Civilian Conservation Corps (CCC) who built much of the monolithic infrastructure that we all enjoy today.
At least 300,000 educated workers could immediately be put to work in contact tracing. Millions more could be employed in national infrastructure programs. One thing is certain. A new administration won’t stop massive government spending, it will simply redirect it.
And let's face it. A Biden win would bring a big expansion of Obamacare. With the best healthcare technology in the world, private industry has done the world’s worst job controlling the pandemic.
Countries with well-run national healthcare systems like Australia, New Zealand, Japan, and Singapore have almost wiped out the disease. This is why I am avoiding the healthcare sector for the foreseeable future.
Who are the big winners of all this? Big tech (FB), (AAPL), (MSFT), (AMZN), medium tech (ADBE), fintech (SQ), (PYPL), the cloud (CRM), and biotech (SGEN), (REGN), and (ILMN).
Cybersecurity will always be in demand (FEYE), (PANW). The global chip shortage will continue to worsen (AMD), (MU), (NVDA).
And Tesla (TSLA)? What can I say? It is already up nearly 100-fold from my initial $16.50 recommendation in 2010, and I’ve bought three Tesla’s (two S’s and an X).
Followers of the Mad Hedge Trade Alert service know that I am already long these names up the wazoo, and is why I am up 26% in 2020. It’s simply a matter of all pre-pandemic trends hyper-accelerating, which we were already tapped into.
If you have to add a purely domestic sector, a gigantic Millennial tailwind will keep homebuilders bubbling for years like (LEN), (PHM), and (KBH).
And while you won’t find me as a player here, retail will recover. The sector has not prospered during the current administration, thanks to a trade war with China and the pandemic.
And the losers? There is a classification of “Trump” stocks you don’t want to be anywhere near. Energy will do terribly (XOM), (CVX), (XOM), with Texas tea possibly revisiting negative numbers. If you take away the tax breaks, energy hasn’t really made money in decades.
Defense stocks (RTN), (NOC), (LMT) will take a big hit from budget cutbacks and fewer wars. Coal (KOL) will finally get shut down for good, probably sold to China in bankruptcy proceedings. Industrials will continue to lag (X), (GE), with no more free handouts from the government and no technology advantage.
So if Biden wins, you don’t need to slit your wrists, hang yourself from the showerhead, or cease investing completely. Just take your stock market winnings and go out and get drunk instead.
Mad Hedge Technology Letter
February 21, 2020
Fiat Lux
Featured Trade:
(WHY THE GOVERNMENT IS GUNNING FOR GOOGLE AND FACEBOOK)
(FB), (GOOGL), (TWTR), (ADBE), (FTNT), (EBAY)
Google (GOOGL) and Facebook (FB) are dominant to the extent that the U.S. administration is hoping to dismantle them.
The two companies enjoy a flourishing duopoly and guzzle up digital ad dollars.
Governments around the world are scratching their heads attempting to figure out how to put a dent in these fortresses and so far, have been unsuccessful.
Big tech has made governments look bad, to say the least, and their response has been even more shambolic.
Alphabet installed Google CEO Sundar Pichai as the top decision-maker for all Alphabet assets preparing for the onslaught of digital privacy headwinds and regulation that the E.U., U.S., and everyone else will throw at them.
Luckily, they do not need to deal with the Chinese communist party as big tech minus Apple was effectively banned years ago.
What’s on Google and Facebook’s plate right now?
Attorney General William Barr has pointed the finger at these two platforms for hiding behind a clause that gives them immunity from lawsuits while their platforms carry material promoting illicit and immoral conduct and suppressing opinions.
Barr is currently looking into potential changes to Section 230 of the Communications Decency Act, which was passed in 1996 and has been also referred to as the supercharger to tech riches.
What could eventually come of this?
Barr could decide for the Justice Department to explore ways to limit the provision, which protects internet companies from liability for user-generated content.
This could open up Google and Facebook to higher costs of managing content on their platforms and lawsuits related to malcontent in which they fail to remove.
Even though platforms love to market that they actively thwart bad actors, at the end of the day, they aren’t on the hook for what happens.
Massive alterations could fundamentally weaken their business models and force them to review each word and photo that is thrown upon their platform.
They have already hired an army of hourly paid contractors, but at their massive scale, content is simply impossible to smother.
Content generators understand how to sidestep machine learning algorithms which are based on backdated data, meaning they would not be able to catch a new iteration of past content.
Absolving themselves of any responsibility for policing their platforms has been an important catalyst in the outperformance in shares for both Facebook and Google.
The social side of this has cringeworthy unintended consequences.
The Computer & Communications Industry Association, a tech trade group that counts Google and Facebook as members want the government to stay out of it as they believe they are overreaching.
Government has been slowly making inroads in combatting the strength of these digital platforms, and the first successful foray was when Congress eliminated the liability protection for companies that knowingly facilitate online sex trafficking.
Big tech won’t go with a whimper and they will propose a range of changes to avoid direct damage to their business model such as raising the bar a smidgeon on which companies can have the shield, to carving out other laws negating attempt to weaken their platforms, to delaying the repealing of Section 230.
There is too much shareholder value on the line and as the coronavirus rears its ugly head, it’s ironic that investors perceive safety in not only the U.S. dollar but in the vaunted FANG tech group.
Ultimately, the math wins out and these companies with gargantuan earnings can weather any storm with a moat as wide as ever.
It’s to the point that a $10 billion fine is a massive victory, and what other group of companies can boast about that?
We can only trade the market we have in front of us and not the one we want.
I pulled the trigger on a Google call spread and I believe this narrow group of power tech players and their partners in crime cloud stocks of the likes of Twitter (TWTR), eBay (EBAY), Fortinet (FTNT), Adobe (ADBE), and a few others will hoist the market on its back like I predicted it would at the beginning of the trading year.
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