Mad Hedge Bitcoin Letter
June 14, 2022
Fiat Lux
Featured Trade:
(FROM BAD TO WORSE)
(BTC), (CELSIUS)
Mad Hedge Bitcoin Letter
June 14, 2022
Fiat Lux
Featured Trade:
(FROM BAD TO WORSE)
(BTC), (CELSIUS)
Crypto winter is here.
My short-term forecast of one Bitcoin (BTC) priced at $20,000 is coming to fruition as BTC undergoes a nasty selloff that was triggered by panic liquidating.
The price was around $28,000 per BTC this weekend, only for the digital gold to sink to around $23,000 on Monday morning.
The dip that was around 17% won’t attract any dip buyers right now because as a whole, the entire industry is a no-fly zone.
A store of value during high inflation?
It’s playing out unfavorably for BTC as consumers and investors trade with their feet by preferring a can of tuna over an unregulated controversy.
What really heaved fuel on the fire?
Another systemic risk flaming out of control.
Celsius, said Monday it was pausing all withdrawals, causing more pain in the fragile crypto market.
This could be crypto’s “Lehman moment.”
Freezing payment flows is the antithesis of a store of value which BTC and crypto experts claimed it was.
These events will stain the infrastructure of cryptocurrencies for quite a while until they can prove they aren’t such a half-baked operation.
Celsius mainly delt in lending crypto funds and just imagine the trajectory of the stock market if all banks froze withdrawals.
The stock market would open down 25% the next day.
We are having one of those moments in the crypto industry with no sight of help to save us.
Celsius is one of the largest participants in the burgeoning crypto lending space, with more than $8 billion lent out to clients and almost $12 billion in assets under management as of May.
Celsius, which offers users higher-than-average interest rates on their deposits, is essentially the crypto equivalent of a bank — but without the strict insurance requirements faced by traditional lenders.
It was just a few weeks ago when Celsius CEO Alex Mashinsky downplayed the company was having any trouble meeting withdrawal requests.
Either he was lying or the situation went from great to abysmal quickly.
I believe it was a combination of the two.
No later after Celsius froze funds, pandemonium came to the biggest crypto exchange Binance.
Binance said Monday that it is temporarily pausing bitcoin withdrawals “due to a stuck transaction causing a backlog.”
Crypto exchanges are brokers precisely, so trades don’t get “stuck.”
At first, Binance founder and CEO Changpeng Zhao said in a tweet that the issue would be fixed within 30 minutes. But he later amended that to say, “Likely this is going to take a bit longer to fix than my initial estimate.”
Crypto is going haywire and investors are pulling funds in droves, but the inferior infrastructure is overloaded by the withdrawal transaction volume.
Investors should stay away from crypto right now unless they desire to sell a rally through a Bitcoin proxy on the public markets.
Illiquid markets mean that slippage costs are high and trades might not get filled at all.
If an investor can’t pocket the proceeds, then all bets are off.
Investors might be waiting days if not weeks to receive their order.
The market mayhem has shown crypto to be an absolute inferior asset to that of any alternative.
Investors just assume tomorrow will be worse than today.
A massive loss of confidence is the last thing investors want to see happen to an unproven industry.
Lastly, this guarantees the pulling forward of heavy regulation from the Feds that will absolutely result in higher costs for not only the trader but every part of the crypto ecosystem.
Crypto has shown it isn’t able to self-govern and with that, a third-party organization will need to come in and determine the law of the land.
The price of Bitcoin will sink through $20,000 and I believe the next stop is $10,000.
Tighten your seat belts folks.
Legal Disclaimer
There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. MadHedgeFundTrader.com and all individuals affiliated with this site assume no responsibilities for your trading and investment results. The indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features are for educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice. Information for futures trading observations are obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but we do not warrant its completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the trading observations is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness of the information. You must assess the risk of any trade with your broker and make your own independent decisions regarding any securities mentioned herein. Affiliates of MadHedgeFundTrader.com may have a position or effect transactions in the securities described herein (or options thereon) and/or otherwise employ trading strategies that may be consistent or inconsistent with the provided strategies.
This site uses cookies. By continuing to browse the site, you are agreeing to our use of cookies.
OKLearn moreWe may request cookies to be set on your device. We use cookies to let us know when you visit our websites, how you interact with us, to enrich your user experience, and to customize your relationship with our website.
Click on the different category headings to find out more. You can also change some of your preferences. Note that blocking some types of cookies may impact your experience on our websites and the services we are able to offer.
These cookies are strictly necessary to provide you with services available through our website and to use some of its features.
Because these cookies are strictly necessary to deliver the website, refuseing them will have impact how our site functions. You always can block or delete cookies by changing your browser settings and force blocking all cookies on this website. But this will always prompt you to accept/refuse cookies when revisiting our site.
We fully respect if you want to refuse cookies but to avoid asking you again and again kindly allow us to store a cookie for that. You are free to opt out any time or opt in for other cookies to get a better experience. If you refuse cookies we will remove all set cookies in our domain.
We provide you with a list of stored cookies on your computer in our domain so you can check what we stored. Due to security reasons we are not able to show or modify cookies from other domains. You can check these in your browser security settings.
These cookies collect information that is used either in aggregate form to help us understand how our website is being used or how effective our marketing campaigns are, or to help us customize our website and application for you in order to enhance your experience.
If you do not want that we track your visist to our site you can disable tracking in your browser here:
We also use different external services like Google Webfonts, Google Maps, and external Video providers. Since these providers may collect personal data like your IP address we allow you to block them here. Please be aware that this might heavily reduce the functionality and appearance of our site. Changes will take effect once you reload the page.
Google Webfont Settings:
Google Map Settings:
Vimeo and Youtube video embeds: