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Tag Archive for: (ETH)

Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Ethereum's Wild Ride

Bitcoin Letter

The price of Ethereum has doubled from $1,800 last July to $3,500 today.

Throughout this newsletter, I have been preaching to readers that price appreciation will be higher in Ether than it is in Bitcoin.

Ethereum simply has better technology and is a better bet in the long run and sadly for Bitcoin, they are further along in their maturation cycle therefore the explosive up moves are confined by the law of large numbers.

It was simply almost a given that Ethereum would go from $1,000 to $3,500 and it’s really only a matter of time until they break $5,000 and then $10,000.

This is the second most popular cryptocurrency and although not a great store of value yet like Bitcoin, its fan base is growing by the day.

Here are a few answers for Ether fanatics from typical Ether questions.

Crypto investors always need more fine-tuning and know-how about cryptocurrency.

ETH is a great buy-the-dip opportunity for crypto diehards, and I believe there is clear sailing until $10,000.

Frequently Asked Ethereum Questions

Where's the best place to buy ETH?

There are many centralized exchanges that support Ethereum. If you live in the US, the most frequented exchanges are Coinbase, Gemini, and Kraken. Coinbase users can use Coinbase Pro for lower fees.

When is Eth2 launching?

Eth2 is a marketing term used to represent a number of updates to Ethereum. The Eth2 proof-of-stake chain was first launched in December 2020. "The Merge", which is the event that will fully switch Ethereum's consensus to proof-of-stake, is estimated to be ready in early 2022, although there is no exact timeline. Other updates, such as data shards, will follow that update.

Do I need to do anything to update to Eth2? Will Eth2 create a new token?

No, ETH holders never need to take any action to keep holding ETH. Ethereum users will be unaffected by the Eth2 upgrade. And the Eth2 updates will not create any new tokens.

How can I stake my ETH?

There are two ways that you can stake your ETH: by either running your own validator or providing your ETH to a staking pool.

Running your own validator requires a modern computer and 32 ETH.

Staking pools accept any amount of ETH. I recommend Lido or StakeWise.

Why are Ethereum transaction fees so high?

Like most blockchains, Ethereum fees are determined by supply and demand. The large demand to use Ethereum has pushed transaction fees quite high (however, fees were just a few cents only 2 years ago). Fees are especially high during market volatility, and during NFT drops.

What is being done to lower Ethereum transaction fees?

Ethereum fees are reduced by using layer-2 rollups. Rollups are scaling solutions that allow for significantly cheaper transactions, while still maintaining Ethereum's security.

Additionally, Eth2's data shards will make rollups even cheaper.

While rollups are cutting-edge technology being actively developed, a number of them are already live on the Ethereum mainnet.

What's the best wallet for Ethereum?

The most popular tool for using decentralized applications is Metamask. However, for security reasons, I recommend using a hardware wallet such as a Trezor or Ledger.

 

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2022-04-05 17:02:162022-04-05 18:31:16Ethereum's Wild Ride
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

February 22, 2022

Bitcoin Letter

Mad Hedge Bitcoin Letter
February 22, 2022
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:

(BTC FAILS THE ACID TEST)
(BTC), (ETH)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2022-02-22 15:04:332022-02-22 16:16:52February 22, 2022
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

BTC Fails the Acid Test

Bitcoin Letter

Sell Bitcoin (BTC) when it rallies.

The goalposts have narrowed lately for the digital gold and investors need to trade the market we have, not the market we want.

Even for long term, the crypto bull case is alive and kicking. In the short term, the flight to safety trade has shown that bitcoin is yet the safety asset believers want you to think it is.

Cash or treasuries are better options even with inflation running a hot 7.5%.

An ominous sign of late was when the co-founder of the Ethereum (ETH) blockchain Vitalik Buterin told us the digital-asset universe may actually benefit from a selloff in coin prices.

That’s bad news for prices if he says that.

“The people who are deep into crypto, and especially building things, a lot of them welcome a bear market,” Buterin said during an interview with Bloomberg.

“They welcome the bear market because when there are these long periods of prices moving up by huge amounts like it does — it does obviously make a lot of people happy — but it does also tend to invite a lot of very short-term speculative attention.”

I don’t agree with his statement and it’s an engineer talking about something important but at a technical level.

Investors don’t care what happens at that technical level in the short term.

Although there will always be speculators in every asset class, there is room for all sorts of investors long and short.

The speculators add liquidity to the market in an asset class where many coin creators are begging for more adoption.

For Buterin, to make this selloff about speculators is somewhat arrogant.

The truth is that he should be cheerleading anyone and everyone to get into crypto no matter where the funds come from.

On a micro level, Buterin should be more worried about competing against Bitcoin which is a tough ask.

Unfortunately, crypto has performed poorly against the flight to safety bid when a cornerstone premise had it that bitcoin and crypto were supposed to be part of that safety trade.

The currency is not mature enough and the weakness in prices tell the whole story.

Some highly publicized crypto hacks haven’t helped the case of the normal guy putting money into crypto either.

It continues to be a selective niche industry where it’s a hassle to go from fiat to crypto exchange and many can’t figure out the tax reporting rules.

Buterin has shifted his focus to scaling Ethereum in recent years. The popular blockchain has long suffered criticism because transactions on Ethereum can be slow and expensive.

Buterin should just worry about his own digital currency lasting the test of time instead of thinking he can pick and choose what type of investors goes into crypto.

Investors dumped Bitcoin after Russian President Vladimir Putin ordered troops into Ukraine.

Therefore, expect any geopolitical flareups to include huge bitcoin selloffs and a flight to the US dollar.

Any kinetic war means another leg down in bitcoin.

Volatility will play a huge role in the next move in bitcoin.

If there is a moderate solution to the Eastern European military hostility, then expect Bitcoin to jump back into the $40,000 area while an acceleration of aggressiveness will be met with a selloff down to $30,000.

So yes, guys like Buterin aren’t building the quality that needs to be built.

Clearly, they have been penalized and boxed up as if digital crypto is of inferior value to a normal equity stock.

The trust in the asset is not broad-based and it lends to the theory that readers shouldn’t double down in any crypto-related asset, but inch in and go from there.

Crypto has also performed poorly with rapidly advancing interest yields which is also worrying for readers looking for asset appreciation.

If bitcoin bounces back to over $40,000, I will sell that rally.

 

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2022-02-22 15:02:492022-02-22 16:17:10BTC Fails the Acid Test
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

February 15, 2022

Bitcoin Letter

Mad Hedge Bitcoin Letter
February 15, 2022
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:

(RUSSIA POWER-UPS DOMESTIC CRYPTO INDUSTRY)
(BTC), (ETH)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2022-02-15 11:04:122022-02-15 15:55:57February 15, 2022
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Russia Power-Ups Domestic Crypto Industry

Bitcoin Letter

Russian war? Yawn.

Is it a ploy to raise energy prices? Perhaps.

They have been in the news lately for all the wrong reasons and a diminished superpower invading Ukraine and Europe would have been financially devastating for a country with an economy the same size as the state of Texas.

The more important news for us crypto fanatics is the bombshell that was dropped on February 8th – The Russian government approved the concept of regulating the cryptocurrency market in Russia.

According to the plan, all transactions with digital money will have to go through banks, and already existing wallets will have to be deanonymized.

Russian leader Vladimir Putin forced the State and Central Bank to come together to propose numerous measures that should bring digital currency transactions out of the gray zone, as well as the timing of the implementation of these plans.

Judging by the approved concept, in the future, all cryptocurrency transactions will go through the banking infrastructure.

In order to open a wallet, and then buy or sell cryptocurrency, a person will need to contact the bank and go prove identification there.

The government believes that a complete ban on the crypto industry (as originally proposed by the Central Bank) or the absence of its regulation will lead to an increase in the share of the shadow economy, an increase in fraud cases.

The plan is for Russians, who have opened more than 12 million cryptocurrency wallets, on which about 2 trillion rubles sit to be an official part of the financial system.

It is estimated that almost 12% of the Russian population (about 17 million people) owns cryptocurrency.

What will government regulation lead to?

The cryptocurrency market in Russia is growing, so it needs legalization.

Market participants will be more fluid if crypto isn’t illegal which means that investments will flow into the industry.

This includes large institutional money from the traditional financial market, which is accustomed to working in conditions of strict regulation and licensing by the Central Bank.

The structure of the market after the introduction of new rules may change.

“Not all of the big crypto exchanges will agree to work in the new conditions because of deanonymized aspects of it and the government oversight.

Now all the largest sites are not Russian, and this will change. This sets up nicely for a domestic exchange that will cater towards the Russian language and possess Russian characteristics.

The government understood that the ban would completely exclude the Russian economy from the emerging global digital space, with all the ensuing consequences.

The Russian authorities took heed from China’s experience with crypto, where they completely banned cryptocurrencies and mining and which could have devastating effects on their future economy and currency.

The Chinese have bet on the digital yuan, which they are now implementing at full steam, hoping that in the future it will become the world's reserve currency.

Quite laughable, but that’s what they think.

Because of this decision, miners and investors fled the country for Russia, Kazakhstan, and other crypto-friendly countries and regions.

What about mining?

There could be a separate bill that will be devoted to mining, which will define specific territories for the "mining" of digital currency (similar to gambling zones) and separate energy rules.

I believe that the legalization of mining will have a positive effect and encourage an emerging mining industry to grow inside of Russia.

The state will have the opportunity to optimize energy, for example, load idle power plants, giving the surplus of energy to miners.

Ultimately, Russia is setting into motion the rules to encourage a thriving crypto domestic industry and reduce the cost of electricity for the population.

Sure, this undermines the spirit of crypto being a decentralized good, but Russia’s totalitarian government simply won’t allow a free-flowing crypto environment without oversight.

I believe that proven crypto coins like Bitcoin and Ethereum will be given the green light by the Russian government, and this would never happen unless Russia gets its cut as well.

Russia, which did its best to kick out the US tech industry, is hesitant to repeat the same antics as the loss of revenue and high-paying jobs over the long haul came back to bite the government.

On a wider scale, this will fortify and legitimize crypto as a real global risk asset and in the short-term, price action should benefit and move higher from here.

Ironically, Bitcoin has stabilized in the $40,000s and could move higher in the next month or two.

 

 

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/02/bitcoin-feb1522.png 388 928 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2022-02-15 11:02:482022-02-15 15:56:46Russia Power-Ups Domestic Crypto Industry
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

February 8, 2022

Bitcoin Letter

Mad Hedge Bitcoin Letter
February 8, 2022
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:

(BITCOIN MOMENTUM PICKS UP)
(BTC), (ETH), (TSLA)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2022-02-08 15:04:152022-02-08 16:37:14February 8, 2022
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Bitcoin Momentum Picks Up

Bitcoin Letter

One might pontificate that the recent bullish price action in Bitcoin is because Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies are finally starting to decouple from equities.

I don’t agree.

For the past few months, Bitcoin has been relegated to a status of just another lousy tech stock as the price movement mimicked the Nasdaq index but in a more exaggerated form.

I would argue that the decoupling moment hasn’t materialized yet and the industry needs to mature to exhibit more idiosyncratic characteristics.

Once they shake off that convenient moniker, it will allow the incremental investor to define it by its merit.

Defining it through the prism of its current strategic position relative to an entirely different industry just doesn’t make a whole lot of sense.

Bitcoin has roared back from the dead and it’s about time.

The bears can’t hold down the secular drivers underpinning the asset forever.

I believe the outperformance of late that has seen Bitcoin elevate into the mid-$40,000s is more of a result of interest rate expectations being pushed to the upper limit in the short-term and investors expecting a small reversion to the mean.

The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield is now a smidge below 2% after a pulsating move from 1.3% in the past 3 months.

The 35% move down had a funny way of distorting pretty much every asset class as consumers rushed into real estate, sold off technology stocks as fast as they could, and triggered a flight to safety.

No doubt that interest rates will most likely blow past the 2% threshold, but the reversal in bitcoin is signaling that the ensuing pace of yield appreciation will be orderly and smoother than what we just witnessed the past few months as the Fed tries to catch up.

If the Fed can wrestle back the narrative and actually do their jobs, Bitcoin is sitting pretty as we move forward.

The Fed has finally indicated they will finally act and that shakeout penalized crypto as the goalposts narrowed.

The sad fact is that in times of panic, high-risk assets are usually the first to be sold to supplement the losers or a cascade of stop-loss orders being dismantled can cause contagion that overflows into other areas.

As Bitcoin stabilizes and marks a short-term floor of $40,000, we could experience another buying wave as calm waters mean it's time to set sail aboard the crypto speed boat.

There are more green shoots occurring beneath the surface as more organizations are embracing bitcoin.

Earlier today, KPMG Canada, the Toronto-based branch of professional services firm KPMG, announced that it had purchased some Bitcoin and Ethereum.

Even more important, automaker Tesla (TSLA) revealed in a recently filed 10-K that it held almost $2 billion in bitcoin at the end of last year.

Tesla’s 10K SEC filing update was released yesterday, reaffirming notions that Tesla held onto their Bitcoin holdings amidst declines in Bitcoin’s price to the lower $30,000.

Combined with the news of KPMG Canada adding Bitcoin onto its balance sheet, encouraged a sharp rise in positive Bitcoin price sentiment.

These events mean that market confidence is coming back quickly, and people are realizing that we have finally arrived at an entry point.

These events are simply the latest sign of progress for cryptocurrencies.

On the legal front, I believe a huge source of momentum comes from Congress, with many members of the U.S. Senate speaking favorably on Bitcoin.

On Friday, Texas Sen. Ted Cruz disclosed that he invested in $50K worth of bitcoin during its dip back last month and spoke positively about Texas being the next bitcoin mining hub.

Sentiment has climbed back from the dead and we could experience short-term rapid upside price action in this highly volatile asset class.

 

 

 

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2022-02-08 15:02:352022-02-08 16:36:45Bitcoin Momentum Picks Up
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

February 3, 2022

Bitcoin Letter

Mad Hedge Bitcoin Letter
February 3, 2022
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:

(DIVERSITY IS STILL KING)
(BTC), (ETH)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2022-02-03 12:06:322022-02-03 14:47:40February 3, 2022
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Diversity is Still King

Bitcoin Letter

Most people here invest only in crypto, because they are already extremely successful or on a similar path and crypto, being an appreciating and depreciating asset, is a means to diversify a portfolio between many different types of investments.

In the unlikely event that a reader is scrounging up their last few dollars to bet on the next speculative crypto big thing, then I would say your prospects are dim.

The unfair narrative of crypto loosely follows one of a fly-by-night operation in which someone can get rich in one day.

That is a complete fallacy.

And sure, I am not saying that getting rich in one day has never happened before, it certainly has, and it will time and time again.

But the odds of that happening are miniscule in cryptocurrency.

Even if someone who could be classified as middle class in the U.S. is now being advised to add crypto, the smart only put a small portion of their savings into it.

High net worth people often say they don’t need to get rich twice in their life.

Allocating small portions complements the diversity in one’s personal finance between crypto, precious metals, 401k or IRA, savings, stocks, and real estate.

This is the base case from which I analyze crypto prices and I am not assuming readers are putting 100% of their net wealth into some altcoin even if they are free to do so.

And when talked about through the prism of just another asset that is part of a bigger portfolio, then crypto and its existence is completely justified and important.  

I mean honestly, it is surprising that it took until 2012 to create it, and it’s been a long time coming for the world to have something more advanced than the paper dollar.

I would argue that we are years late on this one and crypto should have been created in conjunction with the internet and computers.

To think it took this long to figure out a digital money that defies international borders and regulation makes me believe that innovation isn’t as fast as it needs to be in the digital ecosystem.

Much of the mainstream media appears to cater towards the delusional retail trader urging people who have $200, $1000, or even $10000 to buy crypto at any price.  

Participating in stocks is still attractive to the average person, but the issue here as it relates to its value versus crypto, stocks are unattractive in a rising interest rate environment where the Fed has promised to curtail its balance sheet purchases.

Crypto is just another asset where the price is determined by supply and demand, it is not a magic bullet.

Even though fiscal policy isn’t accommodating in the short-term to crypto price appreciation, crypto will benefit long term as a hedge to inflation which the government has allowed to spiral out of control.

The priority right now for money is the safety of it and that won’t always be the case especially if the pace of rate hikes becomes orderly and manageable so much so that investors feel comfortable putting new money to work in high volatility assets. 

So if crypto is the Hail Mary investment that will drag you out of a life of mediocrity then I would say you are poorly informed.

Investors need to treat it without emotion, a price that is set by supply, demand, and a series of evolving external factors.

This is the right way to go about it in order to absorb those massive 10% drawdowns when you’re sleeping at night.

You should be able to sleep at night with a 5% crypto allocation, maybe even up to 10%.

Diversification is for the investors who have accrued some modicum of partial success and want to keep their portfolios more stable.

Remember this is not a sprint, but a marathon.

At the beginning of your journey diversification is more of a problem than real help. Try to learn more about crypto and being an above-average crypto investor will be better than being an average investor in a few different types of investments.

 

 

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2022-02-03 12:02:492022-02-03 14:46:53Diversity is Still King
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

January 27, 2022

Bitcoin Letter

 

Mad Hedge Bitcoin Letter
January 27, 2022
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:

(AVOID SOLANA LIKE THE PLAGUE)
(BTC), (SOL), (ETH)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2022-01-27 16:04:532022-01-27 17:38:07January 27, 2022
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