Mad Hedge Bitcoin Letter
October 25, 2022
Fiat Lux
Featured Trade:
(SAVING CRYPTO)
(BTC), (KPMG)

Mad Hedge Bitcoin Letter
October 25, 2022
Fiat Lux
Featured Trade:
(SAVING CRYPTO)
(BTC), (KPMG)

One can’t help but be appalled to see the former driver of global growth China turn radically inward, preferring a deeply authoritarian economic model.
What they had in the Hu Jintao years between 2002 to 2012 was legendary and might not ever happen again.
Friends of mine who have managed to flee China all mention how it was easier to leave before 2020.
Good luck now navigating Chinese lockdowns.
Authorities have made it impossible to leave and they track everything including a digital yuan now.
China and its backward economy have a lot of problems, and the more problems that add up nudge the people to a crypto solution.
I am not saying that every Chinese person will invest in crypto, but for the wealthy ones that usually immigrate to Singapore or Hong Kong, the data backs up my thesis.
KPMG accounting firm has indicated a colossal interest in the crypto market from the wealthy elite of Singapore and Hong Kong.
In fact, a 2022-survey by KPMG found that 58 % of the 30 family-offices and high-net-worth individuals (AUM US$10 m–500 m) across Singapore/HK were already invested in digital assets and a further 34 % intended to allocate funds to bitcoin, stable-coins, ether, as well as DeFi opportunities.
Of those 58 % who already invested:
Beyond that, most already invested only allocated less than 5 % of their portfolio to the digital-asset class (reflecting caution around regulation/valuation).
But since 2022, things have evolved:
So: The good news is that there is a pathway that links rich Chinese to the future of crypto, but it’s largely contingent on whether crypto can get its act together or not.
China is ramping up its control over money supply by advancing the digital yuan that they can track and regulate with fine control.
This is really 1984 in its purest form.
As the crypto winter continues, there are indeed some silver linings.
However, crypto needs to be careful that it doesn’t turn into just another centralized version of what the Chinese are running away from.
Decentralization is hard to pull off in the long term as the government will want its cut.
Rome wasn’t built in one day.
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