Mad Hedge Technology Letter
September 24, 2018
Fiat Lux
Featured Trade:
(BAD NEWS FROM MICRON TECHNOLOGY (MU),
(MU), (BABA), (KLAC), (LRCX), (INTC), (AMD), (NVDA), (HPQ)
Mad Hedge Technology Letter
September 24, 2018
Fiat Lux
Featured Trade:
(BAD NEWS FROM MICRON TECHNOLOGY (MU),
(MU), (BABA), (KLAC), (LRCX), (INTC), (AMD), (NVDA), (HPQ)
If your stomach was on edge before, then you must feel quite queasy now.
That’s only if you didn’t get rid of your chip stocks when I told you to.
The chip sector has been rife with issues for quite some time now, and I’ve been firing off bearish chip stories the past few months.
Intel (INTC) was one of the last chip companies I told you to avoid like the plague, please click here to review that story.
The contagion has spread wider.
Micron (MU), the Boise, Idaho-based chip giant, delivered poor guidance from its latest earnings report, adding more carnage to this trouble sector.
It’s been rough sailing for many American-based chip companies lately that are not named Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) and Nvidia (NVDA).
The protracted ongoing trade war between America and China that sees no end in sight is the fundamental reason to stay away from these chip companies that are the meat and potatoes inside of all electronic devices.
Cofounder of Alibaba (BABA) Jack Ma, who recently stepped down from his position as chairman, told news outlets that this trade war could last “20 years” and is “going to be a mess.”
Micron is affected by this trade war more than any other American company, with half of its annual revenue derived from the Middle Kingdom.
Out of the $20.32 billion in annual revenue last year, more than $10 billion was from China alone.
Micron is a leader in selling DRAM chips, which are placed in most portable electronic devices such as smartphones, video game consoles, and laptop computers.
The commentary coming out from chip executives has been overly negative and spells doom and gloom - supporting my view to be cautious on chips through the end of the year.
At the Citi 2018 Global Technology Conference in New York, KLA-Tencor (KLAC) chief financial officer Bren Higgins characterized the winter season DRAM market as “little less than what we thought,” describing margins as “modestly weaker.”
Lam Research (LRCX), once one of my favorite chip plays, offered bearish rhetoric about the state of chip investments, saying on its earnings call that is expected “lower spending on new equipment by some of its memory customers.”
It doesn’t take a rocket scientist to know that “memory customer” is Intel, which is in the throes of a CPU chip shortage rocking the overall personal computer market.
Personal computers face a steep 7% drop in sales volume for the rest of the year, and the knock-on effect is rippling throughout the industry.
The lower volume of produced computers means less memory needed, adding up to less sales for Micron.
This rationale forced Micron to guide down its revenue growth from 22% to 16% for the last quarter of 2018.
Intel’s monumental lapse has offered a golden opportunity for competitor Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) to steal market share from Intel in broad daylight.
This was the exact thesis that provoked me to urge readers to pile into AMD shares like a Tokyo rush-hour subway car.
Shares have gone ballistic to say the least.
(AMD) is poised to seize and reposition itself in the global CPU market with a 70/30 market share, up from the paltry 90/10 market share before Intel’s debacle.
To make matters worse for Intel, widespread reports indicate its shortage problems are “worsening.”
Such is a dog-eat-dog world out there when a company can triple market share in a blink of an eye.
The rotation is real with HP (HPQ) planning to integrate AMD chips into 30% of its consumer PCs, and Dell already mentioning it will use AMD chips to make up for the shortages.
The resilience in chip demand remains the silver lining for this industry as price weakness and production shortages will be finite.
Server demand remains particularly robust.
Google, Amazon, Facebook, and Microsoft coughed up $34.7 billion on data centers to serve cloud-based operation in the first half of the year in 2018, a sharp increase of 59% YOY.
Investors have been paranoid of the boom-bust nature of the chip industry for decades.
Each cycle sees spending and chip pricing rocket, only for inventories to build up and demand to evaporate in an instant.
The beginning of the end always starts with lower guidance, followed up with missed earnings the next quarter.
This playbook has repeated itself over and over.
Micron guided first quarter revenue of 2019 in a range between $7.9 billion to $8.3 billion, lower than the consensus of $8.45 billion.
And, if all of this horrid chip news wasn’t reason to rip your hair out - here is the bombshell.
To wean itself off the reliance of American chips, Alibaba has created a subsidiary to produce its own chips called Pingtouge Semiconductor Company.
Pingtouge refers to honey badger in the Chinese language, symbolic for its tenacity in the face of adversity – perhaps a thinly-veiled dig at the American political system.
Former Chairman Ma pocketed this chip company Hangzhou C-SKY Microsystems last year. It will will be given ample leeway and resources to team up with Alibaba to roll out its first commercial chip next year.
Alibaba has rapidly grown into the third-largest cloud player in the world, and require an abundant source of chips moving forward.
Chips tricked out with artificial intelligence will be adopted by not only its data centers, but integrated with its autonomous driving technology and IoT products, which are markets that Alibaba is proud to be part.
You can find Alibaba’s cloud products present in more than 20 countries. And the company that Jack Ma built forecasts to generate more than 50% of its revenue from overseas markets soon.
It could be Jack Ma laughing all the way to the bank.
Ultimately, Micron produced fair results last quarter, but like Facebook found out, if investors believe the company is about to fall off a cliff, it offers little resistance to the share price on a short-term basis.
Could the cyclicality demons start to awake to drag this company down?
Partially, yes, but there are still many positives to take away from this leading chip company.
China will need years to remedy its addiction of American chips.
It will not be able to produce the scope of quality or quantity to just stop buying from American companies for the foreseeable future.
The authorized $10 billion share buyback gave Micron shares a nice lift earlier this year, but the industry dynamics are now deteriorating rapidly.
Chip sentiment is at its lowest ebb for some time, and I reaffirm my call to avoid this sector completely unless it’s the two cornerstone chip companies showing systematic resiliency - (AMD) or Nvidia (NVDA).
The administration initially slapped on a tariff rate of 10% on $200 billion worth of goods with intentions to scale it up.
If nothing is solved, the increase to 25% will cause another 5% to 10% drop in Micron and Intel.
Then if the administration plans to go after the rest of the $250 billion of Chinese imports, expect another dive in chip shares.
Either way, each jawboning tweet as we head deeper into this trade conflict will damage Micron’s shares.
This sector is getting squeezed from many sides now, and if you don’t go outright short chip companies, then stay away until the storm clouds pass over and you can reassess the situation.
Global Market Comments
September 21, 2018
Fiat Lux
Featured Trade:
(SEPTEMBER 19 BIWEEKLY STRATEGY WEBINAR Q&A),
(SPY), (VIX), (VXX), (GS), (BABA), (BIDU), (TLT), (TBT),
(TSLA), (NVDA), (MU), (XLP), (AAPL), (EEM),
(MONDAY, OCTOBER 15, 2018, ATLANTA, GA,
GLOBAL STRATEGY LUNCHEON)
Below please find subscribers’ Q&A for the Mad Hedge Fund Trader September 19 Global Strategy Webinar with my guest and co-host Bill Davis of the Mad Day Trader.
As usual, every asset class long and short was covered. You are certainly an inquisitive lot, and keep those questions coming!
Q: Do you expect a correction in the near term?
A: Yes. In fact, we may even see it in October. Markets (SPY) have been in extreme, overbought territory for a month now, the macro background is terrible, trade wars are accelerating, and interest rates are rising sharply. The only thing holding the market up is the prospect of one more quarter of good earnings, which companies start reporting next month. So once that’s out of the way, be careful, because people are just hanging on to the last final quarter before they sell.
Q: I just got out of my cannabis stock, what should I do now?
A: Thank your lucky stars you got away with that—it was an awful trade and you made money on it anyway. Stay away in droves. After all, the cannabis industry is all about growing a weed and how hard is that? This means the barriers to entry are zero. In fact, I’m thinking of growing some in my own backyard. My tomatoes do well, so why not Mary Jane?
Q: The Volatility Index (VIX) is now at $11.79—should I buy?
A: No, the rule of thumb for the (VIX) is to wait for it to sit on a bottom for one to two weeks and let some time decay work itself out. You’ll see that in the ETF, the iPath S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures ETN (VXX). When it stops breaking to new lows, that means it’s ready for another bounce. I would wait.
Q: What do you think about banks here? Is it time to get in?
A: No, these are not promising charts. If anything, I’d say Goldman Sachs (GS) is getting ready to do a head and shoulders and go to new lows. I would stay away from financials unless I see more positive evidence. The industry is ripe for disruption from fintech, which has already started. That’s said, they are way overdue for a dead cat bounce. That’s a trade, not an investment.
Q: Would you short Alibaba (BABA) and Baidu (BIDU) here?
A: No. Shorting is what I would have done six months ago; now it’s far too late. If anything, I would be a buyer of those stocks here, based on the possibility that we will see progress or an end to the trade war in the next couple of months. If the trade wars continue, they will put the U.S. in recession next year, and then you don’t want to own stocks anywhere.
Q: Is Apple (AAPL) going to get hit by the trade wars?
A: So far, this has not been the case, but they are whistling past the graveyard right now—an obvious target in the trade wars from both sides. For instance, the U.S. could suddenly start applying a 25% import duty to iPhones from China, which would make your $1,000 phone a $1,250 phone. Similarly, the Chinese could hit it in China, restricting their manufacturing in one way or another. I’m being very cautious of Apple for this reason. The stock already has one $10 drop just because of this worry.
Q: Can the U.S. ban China from selling bonds?
A: No, they can’t. The global U.S. Treasury bond market (TLT) is international by nature—there is no way to stop the selling. It would take a state of war to reach the point where the Fed actually seizes China’s U.S. Treasury bond holdings. The last time that happened was when Iran seized the U.S. embassy in Tehran in 1979. Iran didn’t get its money back until the Iran Nuclear Deal in 2015. Before that you have to go back to WWII, when the U.S. seized all German and Japanese assets. They never got those back.
Q: What are your thoughts on the chip sector?
A: Stay away short-term because of the China trade war, but it’s a great buy on the long term. These stocks, like NVIDIA (NVDA) and Micron Technology (MU) have another double in them. The fundamentals are outrageously good.
Q: Is the market crazy, or what?
A: Yes, it is crazy, which is why I’m keeping 90% cash and 10% on the short side. But “Markets can remain irrational longer than you can stay liquid,” as my friend John Maynard Keynes used to say.
Q: What’s your take on the Consumer Staples sector (XLP)?
A: It will likely go up for the rest of the year, into the Christmas period; it’s a fairly safe sector. The uptrend will remain until it doesn’t.
Q: Should we buy TBT now?
A: No, the time to buy the ProShares Ultra Short 20+ Year Treasury ETF (TBT) was two months ago. Now is the time to sell and take profits. I don’t think 10-year U.S. Treasury yields (TLT) are going above 3.11% in this cycle, and we are now at 3.07%. Buy low and sell high, that’s how you make the money, not the opposite.
Q: Does this webinar get posted on the website?
A: Yes, but you have to log in to access it. Then hover your cursor over My Account and a drop-down menu magically appears. Click on Global Trading Dispatch, then the Webinars button, and the last nine years of webinars appear. Pick the webinar you want and click on the “PLAY” arrow. Just give us a couple of hours to get it up.
Q: Can Chinese companies use Southeast Asia as a conduit to export to the U.S.?
A: Yes. This is an old trick to bypass trade restrictions. For example, most of the Chinese steel coming into the U.S. is through third countries, like Singapore. Eventually they do get found out, at which point companies or imports from Vietnam will be identified as Chinese origin and get hit with the import duties anyway, but it could take a year or two for those illegal imports to get discovered. This has been going on ever since trade started.
Q: Will the currency crisis in Argentina and Turkey spread to a global contagion?
A: Yes, and this could be another cause of a global recession late next year. The canaries in the coal live there (EEM).
Q: Would you use the DOJ probe to buy into Tesla (TSLA)?
A: No, buy the car, not the stock as it is untradeable. This is in fact the third DOJ investigation Tesla has undergone since Trump came into office. The last one was over how they handled the $400 million they have in deposits for their 400,000 orders. It turns out it was all held in an escrow account. There are easier ways to make money. It’s a black swan a day with Tesla. This is what happens when you disrupt about half of the U.S. GDP all at once, including autos, the national dealer network, big oil, and advertising. All of these are among the largest campaign donors in the U.S.
Global Market Comments
September 12, 2018
Fiat Lux
THE FUTURE OF AI ISSUE
Featured Trade:
(THE NEW AI BOOK THAT INVESTORS ARE SCRAMBLING FOR),
(GOOG), (FB), (AMZN), MSFT), (BABA), (BIDU),
(TENCENT), (TSLA), (NVDA), (AMD), (MU), (LRCX)
Global Market Comments
September 7, 2018
Fiat Lux
Featured Trade:
(MONDAY, OCTOBER 15, 2018, ATLANTA, GA,
GLOBAL STRATEGY LUNCHEON),
(SEPTEMBER 5 BIWEEKLY STRATEGY WEBINAR Q&A),
(AMZN), (MU), (MSFT), (LRCX), (GOOGL), (TSLA),
(TBT), (EEM), (PIN), (VXX), (VIX), (JNK), (HYG), (AAPL)
Below please find subscribers’ Q&A for the Mad Hedge Fund Trader September 5 Global Strategy Webinar with my guest and co-host Bill Davis of the Mad Day Trader.
As usual, every asset class long and short was covered. You are certainly an inquisitive lot, and keep those questions coming!
Q: Do you think the collapse of commodity prices in the U.S. will affect the U.S. election?
A: Absolutely, it will if you count agricultural products as commodities, which they are. We have thousands of subscribers in the Midwest and many are farmers up to their eyeballs in corn, wheat, and soybeans. It won’t swing the entire farm vote to the Democratic party because a lot of farmers are simply lifetime Republicans, but it will chip away at the edges. So, instead of winning some of these states by 15 points, they may win by 5 or 3 or 1, or not at all. That’s what all of the by-elections have told us so far.
Q: What will be the first company to go to 2 trillion?
A: Amazon, for sure (AMZN). They have so many major business lines that are now growing gangbusters; I think they will be the first to double again from here. After having doubled twice within the last three years, it would really just be a continuation of the existing trend, except now we can see the business lines that will actually take Amazon to a much bigger company.
Q: Is this a good entry point for Micron Technology (MU)?
A: No, the good entry point was in the middle of August. We are at an absolute double bottom here. Wait for the tech washout to burn out before considering a re-entry. Also, you want to buy Micron the day before the trade war with China ends, since it is far and away its largest customer.
Q: Is Micron Technology a value trap?
A: Absolutely not, this is a high growth stock. A value trap is a term that typically applies to low price, low book to value, low earning or money losing companies in the hope of a turnaround.
Q: I didn’t get the Microsoft (MSFT) call spread when the alert went out — should I add it on here?
A: No, I am generally risk-averse this month; let’s wait for that 4% correction in the main market before we consider putting any kind of longs on, especially in technology stocks which have had great runs.
Q: How do you see Lam Research (LRCX)?
A: Long term it’s another double. The demand from China to build out their own semiconductor industry is exponential. Short term, it’s a victim of the China trade war. So, I would hold back for now, or take short-term profits.
Q: Is this a good entry point for Google (GOOGL)?
A: No, wait for a better sell-off. Again, it’s the main market influencing my risk aversion, not the activity of individual stocks. It also may not be a bad idea to wait for talk of a government investigation over censorship to die down.
Q: Would you buy Tesla (TSLA)?
A: No, buy the car, not the stock. There are just too many black swans out there circling around Tesla. It seems to be a disaster a week, but then every time you sell off it runs right back up again. Eventually, on a 10-year view I would be buying Tesla here as I believe they will eventually become the world’s largest car company. That is the view of the big long-term value players, like T. Rowe Price and Fidelity, who are sticking with it. But regarding short term, it’s almost untradable because of the constant titanic battle between the shorts and the longs. At 26% Tesla has the largest short interest in the market.
Q: I’m long Microsoft; is it time to buy more?
A: No, I would wait for a bit more of a sell-off unless you’re a very short-term trader.
Q: What would you do with the TBT (TBT) calls?
A: I would buy more, actually; preferably at the next revisit by the ProShares Ultra Short 20 Year Plus Treasury ETF (TBT) to $33. If we don’t get there, I would just wait.
Q: What’s your suggestion on our existing (TLT) 9/$123-$126 vertical bear put spread?
A: It expires in 12 days, so I would run it into expiration. That way the spread you bought at $2.60 will expire worth $3.00. We’re 80% cash now, so there is no opportunity cost of missing out with other positions.
Q: Do you like emerging markets (EEM)?
A: Only for the very long term; it’s too early to get in there now. (EEM) really needs a weak dollar and strong commodities to really get going, and right now we have the opposite. However, once they turn there will be a screaming “BUY” because historically emerging nations have double the growth rate of developed ones.
Q: Do you like the Invesco India ETF (PIN)?
A: Yes, I do; India is the leading emerging market ETF right now and I would stick with it. India is the next China. It has the next major infrastructure build-out to do, once they get politics, regulation, and corruption out of the way.
Q: Do you trade junk bonds (JNK), (HYG)?
A: Only at market tops and market bottoms, and we are at neither point. When the markets top out, a great short-selling opportunity will present itself. But I am hiding my research on this for now because I don’t want subscribers to sell short too early.
Q: With the (VXX), I bought the ETF outright instead of the options, what should I do here?
A: Sell for the short term. The iPath S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures ETN (VXX) has a huge contango that runs against it, which makes long-term holds a terrible idea. In this respect it is similar to oil and natural gas ETFs. Contango is when long-term futures sell at a big premium to short-term ones.
Q: How much higher for Apple (AAPL)?
A: It’s already unbelievably high, we hit $228 yesterday. Today it’s $228.73, a new all-time high. When it was at $150, my 2018 target was initially $200. Then I raised it to $220. I think it is now overbought territory, and you would be crazy to initiate a new entry here. We could be setting up for another situation where the day they bring out all their new phones in September, the stock peaks for the year and sells off shortly after.
Mad Hedge Technology Letter
August 27, 2018
Fiat Lux
Featured Trade:
(WHY ALIBABA IS THE FIRST STOCK TO BUY WITH THE OUTBREAK OF TRADE PEACE),
(BABA), (GOOGL), (AMZN), (YELP), (MSFT), (MU), (ZTE), (HUAWEI)
According to the government agency, China Internet Network Information Center, the Chinese Internet community has surpassed 802 million, which only represents a 57.7% penetration rate, miles behind the 89% penetration rate in America.
The gargantuan scale of the Chinese Internet world means China has three times as many Internet users than America, and this is a big deal.
The additional 30 million added to the Chinese Internet ecosphere in the first half of 2018 shows the scale in which local Chinese tech companies are playing with and use to their clear-cut advantage.
Ostensibly, most business strategies in China revolve around scaled tactics as the backbone to operations.
There is even more room to expand in the Middle Kingdom and one clear victor sits atop the parapet looking at the riffraff below and that is Chinese Internet conglomerate Alibaba (BABA).
Alibaba, led by Chinese Internet pioneer Jack Ma, posted its highest-performing growth quarter in the past four years.
Total quarterly revenue ballooned an incredible 61% YOY to $11.8 billion, highlighting the dominant position Alibaba possesses in the Chinese e-commerce landscape.
If you want to know what Amazon (AMZN) is going to do next watch Alibaba.
Profit margins were somewhat sacrificed in the process because of M&A activity that saw Alibaba move into the physical supermarket business snapping up 35 Hema supermarket locations then reinvesting into the business. Echoes of Whole Foods?
Alibaba did not stop there, funneling another $3 billion into food delivery app ele.me, which plans to merge its operations with Yelp (YELP) lookalike app Koubei.
If you thought Silicon Valley moves at a rapid pace, the Chinese Internet space moves faster than lighting.
Alibaba last year dipped into the retail segment as well pocketing a department store chain with 29 stores along with 17 shopping malls.
Alibaba is the closest replica the world has to Amazon and thus is an ideal barometer of the health of the overall Chinese consumer and a peek under the complicated hood that is the Chinese economy.
Alibaba also provides onlookers at how China and its Internet behemoths are coping with the global trading war that has invaded the news headlines from its outset.
The short answer to all this is that China is coping quite well and by no means is ready to back down.
Indeed, there will be peripheral pressures exerted from the fringes, but the core engines remain intact and Chairman Xi can fall asleep in his Beijing abode more than peacefully.
A reason for the stalemate between the two governments is that both are quietly confident they have the levers in place to absorb whatever Molotov cocktails the other has to throw at them.
Investors would be mad to dismiss China’s capabilities after experiencing a mesmerizing economic rise enriching hundreds of millions of Chinese nationals that can be found comfortably living in western megacities in luxury real estate often with a real estate portfolio dotted around the world.
Alibaba’s management made it known on the earnings report that it is not worried much about the trade war because it is largely focused on the domestic Chinese consumer, which has been one of the best economic stories of the past decade.
The overseas expansion unfolding under Alibaba’s tutelage is away from the western world and predominantly focused on Southeast Asia and Eastern Europe where cheap, value-for-money hardware and software allows citizens at these income levels to participate in the e-commerce game.
These individuals can’t afford iPhones on a salary of peanuts. And Alibaba has targeted the undeveloped world as a potential lever of substantial growth.
The regulatory harshness of the west has shut out Huawei and ZTE from its shores. Australia followed suit as well, banning the two telecom companies even though it enjoys a better relationship with Beijing than Europe or North America.
China has already planned a workaround because the engines driving the Chinese tech miracle are semiconductor companies such as Micron (MU), which sells boatloads of DRAM memory chips to Chinese tech companies that flood the world with smartphones and other gadgets.
Beijing has already formulated a plan to circumvent American chips by tapping Korean, European, and Japanese chips to replace the current American supply that could vanish at any time.
Shenzhen-based chip company HiSilicon fully owned by Huawei is responsible for supplying Huawei with chips and is the biggest local designer of integrated circuits in China.
This is what the future of China looks like when China can finally build up the adequate supply necessary to achieve its plans to dominate global technology, America, and the world.
But the plan is still in the process of playing out. The awkwardness was highly visible when the administration’s ban of selling U.S. manufactured components to telecommunications company ZTE resulted in the company almost shutting down until a last-second change of heart by the administration.
The near-death experience will invigorate ZTE to muster its own local supply of chips to avoid the unreliable foreign supply and a deja vu feeling.
American chip companies won’t be able to enjoy the Chinese market for long as all these negative experiences for Chinese companies has forced Chinese tech companies to search and secure a guaranteed chip supply.
At the same time, Chinese local smartphone players have gone from 0 to 60 in no time with companies that barely existed a few years ago, such as Oppo, Vivo coming into the fore along with Huawei picking up 43% of the global smartphone market.
This is bad news for Apple as local competitors are learning fast and furious how to build premium smartphones via re-engineering the current technology or through forced technology transfers.
These companies subsequently offer these phones at the lowest possible price point. And at some point in the near future Apple could be expendable if Chinese smartphones start to display the type of quality the best phones show.
Chinese domestic consumption and investment comprise 90% of the GDP growth in China and are propped up by three robust trends including real wage growth boosting the middle-class population, high savings rate that of which Americans would be jealous, and easy access to credit vehicles.
When I was recently in the Middle Kingdom, it was highly evident that as the generations became younger, their quality of life was higher than their parents.
The opposite is happening in America with millennials earning demonstrably less than their parents’ generation while the American middle class is shrinking at an accelerated pace.
Beijing knows this and hopes to wait things out as it feels time is a positive variable for China and not America.
It is true that if this trade war took place in 20 years in the future, China would be in a stronger strategic position to extract whatever concessions it desires because even though Chinese growth is slowing, it is still growing at 6.5%.
And if you don’t believe what I just said then just look at Alibaba’s cloud division, which grew 93% YOY opening artificial intelligence-based data centers around Europe to battle Amazon (AMZN) and Microsoft (MSFT).
Europe was once Elysian Fields for American tech companies, but with European regulators going after American tech and China encroaching on European turf, the future looks a lot less certain for the FANGs there than ever before.
Alibaba’s operating margins dipped 10% YOY but the slide will be returned to shareholders in the future in the form of high-quality revenue and is worth the investment into the most innovative ideas of tomorrow.
I did not even mention the large stake Alibaba has in Ant Financial, which operates the ubiquitous digital payment app Alipay.
It would be analogous to Amazon if it owned Visa.
Alibaba is one of the best tech companies in the world headed by a former Chinese English language teacher in Hangzhou.
If America becomes too difficult or expensive with which to do business, Alibaba and Chinese tech will just recalibrate their strategy to deeper infiltrate the confines of Southeast Asia and the rest of the undeveloped world.
Any price war on undeveloped soil favors the Chinese as they have mastered scale better than anyone on the planet.
The stellar Alibaba numbers also mean the trade war has no end in sight as each player thinks they have the upper hand. But it also means the tech giants from both countries will come out unscathed and will lead their country’s respective equity markets higher for the foreseeable future.
________________________________________________________________________________________________
Quote of the Day
“Technology is nothing. What's important is that you have a faith in people, that they're basically good and smart, and if you give them tools, they'll do wonderful things with them,” – said Apple cofounder and former CEO Steve Jobs.
Mad Hedge Technology Letter
August 22, 2018
Fiat Lux
Featured Trade:
(WHAT’S IN STORE FOR TECH IN THE SECOND HALF OF 2018?),
(GOOGL), (AMZN), (FB), (UTX), (UBER), (LYFT), (MSFT), (MU), (NVDA), (AAPL), (SMH)
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