Mad Hedge Biotech and Healthcare Letter
December 2, 2021
Fiat Lux
Featured Trade:
(A REMARKABLE COVID-19 JUGGERNAUT)
(PFE), (BNTX), (MRNA), (JNJ), (AZN), (MYOV), (AKCA)
Mad Hedge Biotech and Healthcare Letter
December 2, 2021
Fiat Lux
Featured Trade:
(A REMARKABLE COVID-19 JUGGERNAUT)
(PFE), (BNTX), (MRNA), (JNJ), (AZN), (MYOV), (AKCA)
Unless you have been living under the rock in the past two years, you probably heard that Pfizer (PFE) is one of the frontrunners in the COVID-19 market.
Between its incredibly successful vaccine and its soon-to-be-approved antiviral treatments, this company has undoubtedly risen to meet—and even surpass—the expectations.
And while a juggernaut in the pharmaceutical and healthcare industry may not seem like your run-of-the-mill growth stock, Pfizer has been showing no signs of slowing down.
If anything, this vaccine leader is anticipated to deepen its lead and reward its investors with market-crushing returns.
Moreover, the foundation of a good growth stock is a great product.
Pfizer clearly has that with its COVID-19 vaccine, Comirnaty, which raked in $13 billion in sales in the third quarter of 2021 alone—and there are surely billions more to come in the next months.
The company actually projects roughly $36 billion from Comirnaty sales this year, which is $2.5 billion more than the initial guidance of $33.5 billion announced earlier, with opportunities appearing to be multiplying more rapidly than even the management anticipated.
For 2022, Pfizer projects $29 billion in sales from Comirnaty—a number that could still rise given the recent approval for vaccines for children over 5 years old and the authorization for booster shots for adults.
On top of the vaccine sales, Pfizer has yet to take into account the potential of its COVID-19 pill, which has at least 90 countries interested.
Actually, the Biden administration has already allocated $5.3 billion to buy 10 million doses in advance of the anticipated approval.
This antiviral pill, called Paxlovid, can serve as an excellent alternative for those who are still hesitant over the vaccine. Plus, it has an 89% effectiveness in reducing the risk of severe COVID-19.
Considering that COVID-19 doesn’t seem to be disappearing anytime soon, there’s no question that Pfizer has a wide runway for growth.
Here’s one example of how Pfizer has been leveraging its expertise and technology lately.
In November, the world was alarmed by the news of yet another COVID-19 variant called Omicron, which was discovered in South Africa.
Although not much is known about it yet, scientists think it’s an escape variant because of its ability to double mutations compared to the Delta variant.
More alarmingly, Omicron is considerably distinct from the original virus that was the basis for the existing COVID-19 vaccines.
That led to growing concerns over the effectiveness of the current vaccines in the face of a highly virulent variant.
Countries like the US, the UK, Canada, Singapore, and Australia have decided to impose travel restrictions on passengers arriving from Africa to curb another pandemic.
The news of this new variant alarmed the world so much that even the stock market experienced a downtrend, particularly in the travel and hospital sectors. This is devastating considering that international travels have only been recently reopened.
Amidst the panic over the Omicron variant, Pfizer and its vaccine partner BioNTech (BNTX) shared that they have been long prepared over the possibility of an “escape variant” emerging.
In fact, the two have taken action months before the news broke and worked to modify their mRNA vaccine to target the new variant, with their candidate ready to be shipped out within 100 days.
This is an impressive foresight on the side of Pfizer and BioNTech, especially in light of the fact that its competitors, Moderna (MRNA), Johnson & Johnson (JNJ), and AstraZeneca (AZN), are only about to investigate the efficacy of their vaccines against Omicron.
Meanwhile, Pfizer has 94 programs in its pipeline. Of these, 38 are enrolled in Phase 2 and 3 clinical trials.
It also has 6 mRNA projects with its German partner BioNTech for additional COVID-19 vaccines and an mRNA flu vaccine.
In terms of expanding its other segments, Pfizer has collaborations with several companies in numerous specializations.
These include the acquisition of Trillium Therapeutics (TRIL) and work with Myovant Sciences (MYOV) to expand its oncology segment, while its collaboration with Akcea Therapeutics (AKCA) targets its cardiovascular sector.
Overall, Pfizer has proven itself to be the safest COVID-19 stock in the market today. Moreover, the continuous expansion of its core business and its heavy focus on R&D all guarantee that it remains in a tremendous position even in a post-COVID world.
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