Global Market Comments
March 16, 2022
Fiat Lux
Featured Trade:
(HOW TO HANDLE THE FRIDAY, MARCH 18 OPTIONS EXPIRATION),
(TLT), (TSLA)
Global Market Comments
March 16, 2022
Fiat Lux
Featured Trade:
(HOW TO HANDLE THE FRIDAY, MARCH 18 OPTIONS EXPIRATION),
(TLT), (TSLA)
Global Market Comments
March 14, 2022
Fiat Lux
Featured Trade:
(MARKET OUTLOOK FOR THE WEEK AHEAD, or RECESSION FEARS ARISE)
(TLT), (SPY), (VIX), (TSLA), (VXX)
I hate to be the bearer of bad news, but the US is now looking at the ugly face of recession. Both oil shocks of the last 50 years promptly delivered serious recessions and the third one could well do the same.
Q1 is now Looking Like a Write Off, as analysts rush to pare forecasts. Some are cutting predictions from 5% growth to zero, or even negative numbers. There will be no sustainable stock market rally until this situation reverses in H2. Keep selling those rallies.
There is no denying that oil at $132 is starting to seriously drag on the economy. Here in San Francisco, gasoline has topped $7.00 a gallon. The good news is that high prices will pay for the enormous losses big oil will take writing off hundreds of billions of Russian investments. It will also greatly accelerate the move to electric vehicles. No wonder Tesla (TSLA) is holding up so well.
We may duck the bullet this time because the number of barrels needed to produce a unit of GDP has dropped by half since over the past half-century, thanks to conservation, improved technology, and the advent of electric vehicles. That old Lincoln Continental that guzzled 8 miles a gallon now gets 27.
The big issue will be how long it will take Germany to replace Russian gas. The US can do it easily, but it will take years to build out the infrastructure and build the ships. The big Russian strategic mistake is that they launched their war in the spring, just when German gas needs decline dramatically.
A second Cold War, a third oil shock, and a hot shooting war are a lot for markets to take in in only three weeks. It all means lower share prices….for now. It makes my down 20% target look pretty good.
There is one other matter that may save our bacon. The real economy is still hot, and the world is running out of everything. Oil was going to $130 anyway, even without the war.
Food, housing, materials, commodities, aluminum, steel, lumber, you name it. All are in short supply. And you already own the things these commodities make, like your home, you already have a hedge and a great long-term play.
This is not what recessions are made out of.
The US Bans Russian Oil Imports, and the rush is on to see how fast we can replace German imports. It’s also looking like several hundred billion dollars of Russian investment in illiquid long-term investments will be trapped in the US, such as in real estate, joint ventures, and venture capital. I keep pinching myself to see this WWII replay unfold. The Mad Hedge Market Timing Index just hit a one-year low at 13. Defense stocks are soaring.
Commodity Prices are soaring anywhere Russia is a major supplier. Nickel prices are up 90% and oil hit $133 a barrel. It all throws gasoline on the inflation fire.
Gold breaks $2,000, a new 18-month high, on a massive flight to safety bid. Next stop could be $3,000.
Nickel Prices soar 250%, to $100,000 a metric tonne, with Russia as a major producer. Futures trading is halted on the London Metals Exchange. Who is the biggest user of nickel? China at 59% and the rest of Asia for a further 23%, mostly to produce stainless steel. More supply disruptions to come. US automakers are scrambling, the biggest end-users of stainless steel. Car prices are about to rocket accelerating the move to carbon fiber.
Europe to Cut Russian Gas Purchases by Two Thirds This Year, some 45% of their current gas supply. They will essentially bring their renewable targets forward by a decade, which is moving forward much faster than the US. Oil is just too unreliable to depend on. Some are untried on a mass scale, such as using wind and solar power to electrolyze water to make clean hydrogen. It’s great if they can pull it off.
CPI Inflation Data comes in at a Red Hot 7.9% YOY, a new cycle high and a new 40-year high, and 0.8% for the month of February. Wars are highly inflationary, especially when they come on top of already chronic supply shorts and supply chain disruptions. Bonds are getting crushed. Too bad I’m triple short.
Weekly Jobless Claims come in at 227,000, with Continuing Claims at 1,494,000. Hot jobs demand downplays the risk of the Ukraine war creating any real recession. Repatriation of jobs from abroad will accelerate.
Amazon Splits 20:1, mimicking NVIDIA’s and Tesla’s earlier moves. Although it should make no difference, such splits are always a positive, as more retail investors can buy Alphabet at $145 than $2,900. Option traders too. The split takes place in July
Rents Rise at fastest rate in 30 years. The index for rentals of primary residences as collected by the Bureau of Labor Statistics is now the highest since 1987. Rents accounted for 40% of the big jump in the CPI in February. Inflation will get worse before it gets better.
Russian Credit Default Swaps Hit 34% Yields, indicating an extremely high probability of default. Some $100 million in interest payments are due next week, but with virtually all bank accounts frozen and kicked out of SWIFT, they have no means to pay.
The largest holders of Russian debt, like Pimco, Voya, and Capital Group, are taking big hits this morning. Who knows, they might be a BUY here. After all, those defaulted Chinese railroad bonds paid off, pennies on the dollar and 100 years after issue. Are confederate state bonds next?
My Ten-Year View
When we come out the other side of pandemic, we will be perfectly poised to launch into my new American Golden Age, or the next Roaring Twenties. With interest rates still at zero, oil cheap, there will be no reason not to. The Dow Average will rise by 800% to 240,000 or more in the coming decade. The American coming out the other side of the pandemic will be far more efficient and profitable than the old. Dow 240,000 here we come!
With near-record volatility, my February month-to-date performance catapulted to a blistering 15.56%. My 2022 year-to-date performance ended at a chest-beating 30.15%. The Dow Average is down -7.6% so far in 2022. It is the great outperformance on an index since Mad Hedge Fund Trader started 14 years ago.
My only new trade this week was to use a $4.00 dive in the (TLT) to go from a single to a double long in the bond market. That leaves me 60% invested and 50% in cash, waiting for the next capitulation selloff. So, I am 3X short the (TLT), 2X long the (TLT), and 1X long Tesla.
That brings my 13-year total return to 538.24%, some 2.10 times the S&P 500 (SPX) over the same period. My average annualized return has ratcheted up to 44.54%, easily the highest in the industry. Five of six of these positions expire on March 18, in four days.
We need to keep an eye on the number of US Coronavirus cases that's close to 80 million and deaths of around 970,000, which you can find here. Growth of the pandemic has virtually stopped, with new cases down 96% in a month.
On Monday, March 14 at 7:00 AM EST, US Consumer Inflation Expectations for February are printed.
On Tuesday, March 15 at 7:30 AM, the Producer Price Index for February is released.
On Wednesday, March 16 at 10:00 AM, the Federal Reserve will announce the first interest rate rise in five years, almost certainly a quarter point.
On Thursday, March 17 at 7:30 AM, Weekly Jobless Claims are published. Housing Starts and Building Permits for February are published.
On Friday, March 18 at 7:00 AM, the Existing Home Sales for February are announced. At 2:00 PM, the Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count is out.
As for me, someone commented that I walk kind of funny the other day, and the memories flooded back.
In 1975, The Economist magazine in London heard rumors that a large part of the population was getting slaughtered in Cambodia. We expected this to happen after the fall of Vietnam, but not in the Land of the Khmers. So my editor, Peter Martin, sent me to check it out.
Hooking up with a right-wing guerrilla group financed by the CIA was the easy part. Humping 100 miles in 100-degree heat wasn’t.
We eventually came to a large village that was completely deserted. Then my guide said, “Over here.” He took me to a nearby cave containing the bodies of over 1,000 women, children, and old men that had been there for months.
I’ll never forget that smell.
With the evidence and plenty of pictures in hand, we started the trek back. Suddenly, there was a large explosion and the man 20 yards in front of me disappeared. He had stepped on a land mine. Then the machine gun fire opened up. It was an ambush.
I picked up an M-16 to return fire, but it was bent, bloody, and unusable. I picked up a second rifle and fired until it was empty. Then everything suddenly went black.
I woke up days chained to a palm tree, covered in shrapnel wounds, a prisoner of the Khmer Rouge. Maggots infested my wounds, but I remembered from my Tropical Diseases class at UCLA that I should leave them alone because they only eat dead flesh and would prevent gangrene. That class saved my life. Good thing I got an “A”.
I was given a bowl of rice a day to eat, which I had to gum because it was full of small pebbles and might break my teeth. Farmers loaded their crops with these so the greater weight could increase their income. I spent my time pulling shrapnel out of my legs with a crude pair of plyers.
Two weeks later, the American who set up the trip for me showed up with cases of claymore mines, rifles, ammunition, and antibiotics. My chains were cut and I began the long walk back to Thailand.
It’s nice to learn your true value.
Back in Bangkok, I saw a doctor who attended to the 50 caliber bullet that grazed my right hip. It was too old to sew up so he decided to clean it instead. “This won’t hurt a bit,” he said as he poured in hydrogen peroxide and scrubbed it with a stiff plastic brush.
It was the greatest pain of my life. Tears rolled down my face.
But you know what? The Economist got their story and the world found out about the Great Cambodian Genocide, where 3 million died. There is a museum in Phnom Penh devoted to it today.
So, if you want to know why I walk funny, be prepared for a long story. I still set off metal detectors.
Stay Healthy,
John Thomas
CEO & Publisher
The Diary of a Mad Hedge Fund Trader
Mad Hedge Technology Letter
March 11, 2022
Fiat Lux
Featured Trade:
(AMAZON MEANS BUSINESS)
(AMZN), (AAPL), (TSLA), (GOOGL)
The blockbuster announcement from Amazon (AMZN) regarding their 20:1 stock split is a big deal, and don’t listen to the charlatans who say otherwise.
Sure, on paper, the business model will be thriving just like it has been since its inception, but this piece of financial manipulation is genius.
Just think about it.
The reason for Amazon to need a stock split in the first place is because the stock has gone from the bottom left to the top right over time.
The best and most successful companies frequently execute stock splits and so even if one wants to spin it as a problem, it’s a problem that I wouldn’t mind having myself.
Splits are often a bullish sign since valuations get so high that the stock may be out of reach for smaller investors trying to stay diversified. Investors who own a stock that splits may not make a lot of money immediately, but they shouldn't sell the stock since the split is likely a positive sign.
Nominally cheap stocks have a massive psychological effect on the average investor.
I also don’t buy the BS about fractional shares, it’s like owning half a car.
Nobody wants that.
Investors also clamor for round numbers.
Would you rather own 5 shares of AMZN or 100 after the stock split?
Human psychology can’t be discounted here and, true to form, stock splits have been the precursor to even higher share prices.
Many companies decide to rinse and repeat and AMZN also unearthed a tidy $10 billion stock buyback plan.
So it’s no shock that this will be Amazon's 4th stock split in its history. The last split came in September 1999.
If shareholders approve of the split, it will begin trading on the new basis on June 6.
Big tech behemoths made hay when the sun was shining during the pandemic, and now they want to make it easy for the simple investors to get back into shares.
Bravo to them.
Other companies of its ilk have also partaken in stock splits like Tesla and Alphabet.
So this isn’t out of left field.
It just so happens that at the time of the stock split announcement, big tech has been the most oversold in the past 5 years.
Apple (AAPL) split its stock 4-for-1 in 2020s. Tesla's (TSLA) 5-for-1 stock split also occurred in 2020. Alphabet's (GOOGL) 20-for-1 stock split was announced in February.
Granted, at a fundamental level, things won’t be different at Amazon.
This doesn’t change the innards of the machine that was built for financial engineering from share buybacks to stock splits and the timing of it is also an important lever as every company tries to max out its genetic makeup.
Amazon shares are down about 9% in the past year, but I would attribute that more to too fast too soon.
Then we were hit by the onslaught of higher interest rate expectations and then the Ukrainian war.
Let’s be honest, the first 3 months of this year have been an absolute blood bath for equities, and AMZN doesn’t trade in a vacuum.
The extra kick in the teeth was the supply chain problem for the ecommerce juggernaut.
AMZN will come back as market sentiment starts to heal itself.
War won’t be a ubiquitous event around the Western world and I view the military escalation as an anomaly.
It’s not like AMZN is operating in Russia as well, or China for that matter.
It’s true that the events of the last few weeks have shined a spotlight on non-Democratic countries as a poor environment for business and in absolute disregard of the rule of law.
AMZN needs to operate in places where the law has teeth, otherwise, delivery packages would get stolen half the time with no recourse.
I feel the timing of the stock split is also indicative of a near short-term bottom in tech stocks.
Mad Hedge Technology Letter
March 9, 2022
Fiat Lux
Featured Trade:
(NICKEL MARKET BECOMES HELLISH)
(JJN), (TSLA), (GM), (F)
Nickel (JJN) is essential for EV batteries, and that spells trouble for certain industries as the price of nickel explodes to the upside.
Projections between 2020 and 2037 reveal that global manufacturing of batteries for EVs and other new energy applications will rise tenfold.
That’s not a typo!
Recently, volatility was so high on nickel that London Metal Exchange, prompted a trading halt.
The price of nickel increased by 250% which many traders blamed directly on the war between Russia and Ukraine.
Unintended consequences have put shivers through the global economic system and higher prices of various types of metals will mean consumers will have less discretionary incomes.
Russia is one of the largest producers of nickel in the world, with miner Norilsk Nickel the number one producer of top-grade nickel globally.
If the metal were added to the sanctions list, it could severely shrink volume to Western suppliers and manufacturers.
EV batteries are one of the highest costs in producing an EV.
The price rise in nickel means that it will cost car manufacturers an extra $3,000 to produce the same car.
Costs are going up around the entire process of making an EV and the pain will be felt with a final sticker price substantially higher than today.
It is plausible that in 2 years we could experience a massive shortage which could exacerbate an already dire supply situation as demand continues to rise.
EVs are getting more popular as the quality of EVs produces gets better with each iteration.
No doubt Tesla helped popularize this type of car.
With the next biggest source of nickel being lower-grade Indonesian supply, and new nickel mines years away from getting online, the only logical conclusion is to bake in lower productivity from Western auto companies.
Ford (F) is planning to make 2 million EVs annually by 2026, GM (GM) hopes to sell 1 million EVs by mid-decade and launch 30 new EV models, and Stellantis plans to sell 5 million EVs by the end of the decade, with 25 new EV models on the way.
These companies are all catching up to Tesla (TSLA).
This will poo poo the momentum of the EV car movement temporarily which many believed would go into overdrive this year.
Once the business model supporting the case to make EVs becomes untenable, large car companies could pull back from these models until supply chains moderate.
Car companies aren’t in the business of building cars that lose money and now the unit economics have been thrown into chaos.
Uncontrollable costs to source raw materials for industrial battery makers such as LG Energy Solution, Panasonic, and Contemporary Amperex Technology Co will be passed to the end-user.
It will also make negotiations tougher with EV makers such as Tesla and Volkswagen. And it isn’t just nickel: Prices of cobalt and aluminum, two other key battery metals are grouped into this price surge as well.
U.S. President Joe Biden's solution for lower oil prices was to go out and buy an EV instead of buying gas at the pump. Well, that solution just became more costly and is rising by the day.
This effectively pushes the green movement further back and the high price of oil taking center stage is ruffling a lot of feathers for the American consumer that will have severe implications at the polls this November.
These costs headaches will also be a drag on EV stocks like Tesla in the short term because they simply won’t be able to deliver the volume of cars they planned to produce.
Global Market Comments
March 8, 2022
Fiat Lux
Featured Trade:
(A NOTE ON OPTIONS CALLED AWAY)
(TLT), (TSLA)
Global Market Comments
March 7, 2022
Fiat Lux
Featured Trade:
(MARKET OUTLOOK FOR THE WEEK AHEAD, or THE WAR CONTINUES),
(SPY), (TLT), (TBT), (TSLA), (BRKB)
With Hot heads and retaliation ruling everywhere, I think it is safe to say that the war in Ukraine will continue indefinitely and that things will get worse before it gets better.
Biden is threatening to ban Russian oil imports, boosting oil to $135 a barrel. That is a symbolic gesture as the US really doesn’t import oil from Russia and is independent. But if other countries ban imports, it is just a matter of time before the Russian economy completely collapses.
And there is a country that is able to replace one third of all the Russian oil supplies in a heartbeat, some four million barrels a day, and that is Iran. All they need is a quicky nuclear treaty to restore things back to the 2016 status quo.
Putin seems on track to threaten a nuclear war but launch a cyberwar. He has already threatened a nuclear war multiple times to no avail. Cyber is a much safer option.
What will target number one be? The US stock market and banking system. So be prepared for hairier $500 point down days, like we are getting today.
Keep cash positions high, existing positions hedged, only trade on the most extreme days, and you will be greatly rewarded for your discipline down the road.
I spent four hours walking around the Alameda Flea Market today. Every retired GI I spoke to said they were thinking of volunteering to go to Ukraine. Some 20,000 foreign volunteers have already joined the fight . Like me, everyone wants to get in one more “good” war in their lifetimes. If you want to volunteer, please click here at https://volunteerforukraine.org
Sorry, I have to keep the letter short today. The CIA is holding on line 2.
Nonfarm Payroll Blows it Away, up an eye-popping 678,000 in February. The Headline Unemployment rate fell to 3.8%. The U-6 discouraged worker unemployment rate came in at 7.2%. Amazingly, Average Hourly Earnings fell. Leisure and Hospitality gained 179,000, Professional & Business Services 95,000, Healthcare 94,000, and Construction 36,000, Lower waged workers return to the job in droves. It was a real Goldilocks report and makes a rise in interest rates a sure thing in 12 days.
Weekly Jobless Claims Drop to 215,000, maintaining a new downtrend. Nonfarm Productivity rose by 6.6%. Continuing Claims rose to 1.48 million.
Berkshire Hathaway (BRKB) Profits Soar as Warren Buffet boosts share buybacks to a record $27 billion. Q1 Operating Earnings of the massive conglomerate jumped by $7.3 billion, up 45% YOY. His widespread old economy industrial holdings are working great. Keep buying (BRKB) on dips.
ADP Private Payrolls Explode by 475,000 in February, trouncing analyst expectations. Small companies showed minor losses. It sets up a red-hot Nonfarm Payroll Report on Friday.
Powell Says Rate Hikes are Still On but may not occur as quickly as once thought. He made the comments during congressional testimony. The labor market is extremely tight, auguring for higher rates, while the Ukraine war has delivered a huge dollop of uncertainty. Bonds crashed an astounding $5 points on the news.
Biden’s State of the Union Address Triggers Monster Two-Day $1,200 point Rally. Greater certainty, strong leadership, and a positive attitude are just what investors were looking for. A big focus on the war in Ukraine gave it a boost. The virtual disappearance of the pandemic in a short month is also a big plus. It was the first in-person State of the Union in two years. Bulls loved it.
Switzerland Joins SWIFT Russian Boycott. It’s the first time in 400 years that the Swiss have taken a side. The move freezes maybe $200 billion worth of Putin’s personal bank accounts. The noose tightens. Next to come is Fastrack membership for Ukraine and war crime trials. Ouch.
Russia Raises Interest Rates to 20% since the central bank is frozen out of accessing reserves to support the currency. The Russian economy is being destroyed from within and without. The end result will be to take Russian per capita income from a pre-invasion $10,000 a year to a Soviet era $1,000. I wouldn’t be writing a life insurance policy on Putin right now. He might become accident-prone.
Tesla to Open Berlin Factory in March, taking the stock up $170, or 24% from last week’s low. $700 is a very impressive and tradable low. It will be worth $10,000 when solid state technology is mass-produced.
Bitcoin Jumps 12.5% on Massive Russian Buying, as the world rushes to dump the rogue country from the western financial system.
Oil is Now Targeting $125 a Barrel from the current $103, especially if other countries join Canada in banning imports from Russia. Amazingly, natural gas is still passing through the Ukraine to Europe. My guess is that the Ukrainians are not attacking it in exchange for 1,000 Javelin missiles from Germany. Or they could be just waiting for spring when demand flags. Strategic Petroleum Reserve releases can make only a token contribution as best. Ironically, the war may move Europe faster towards alternatives.
Russia’s Debt Rating is Cut to Junk, and overnight interest rates in Russia have been boosted to 20%. JP Morgan expects the sanctions to shrink the Russian economy by 35%. If Ukraine can hold out for two weeks, they will last years as foreign food, supplies, and volunteers pour in. All roads going into Ukraine are still open. Ukraine has raised $54 million in crypto donations in a week. Once the shock is over, the war will be fully discounted by the financial markets. People forget that Ukraine fought a brutal guerilla war against the Germans during WWII and won, despite enormous casualties.
My Ten-Year View
When we come out the other side of pandemic, we will be perfectly poised to launch into my new American Golden Age, or the next Roaring Twenties. With interest rates still at zero, oil cheap, there will be no reason not to. The Dow Average will rise by 800% to 240,000 or more in the coming decade. The American coming out the other side of the pandemic will be far more efficient and profitable than the old. Dow 240,000 here we come!
With near-record volatility fading fast, my February month-to-date performance rocketed to a blistering 11.09% in only four days. My 2022 year-to-date performance ended at 25.68%. The Dow Average is down -7.4% so far in 2022. It is the great outperformance on an index since Mad Hedge Fund Trader started 14 years ago.
My only new trade this week was to use a $4.00 spike in the (TLT) to go from a double to a triple short in the bond market. That leaves me 50% invested and 50% in cash, waiting for the next capitulation selloff. So, I am 3X short the (TLT), 1X long the (TLT), and 1X long Tesla.
That brings my 13-year total return to 538.24%, some 2.10 times the S&P 500 (SPX) over the same period. My average annualized return has ratcheted up to 44.54%, easily the highest in the industry.
We need to keep an eye on the number of US Coronavirus cases at close to 80 million and rising quickly and deaths at 960,000, which you can find here.
On Monday, March 7 at 8:30 AM EST, Consumer Credit for January is printed.
On Tuesday, March 8 at 8:30 AM, the Balance of Trade is published.
On Wednesday, March 9 at 7:00 AM, The JOLTS private job openings for January is disclosed.
On Thursday, March 10 at 8:30 AM, Weekly Jobless Claims are published. We also get the big number of the week, the Consumer Price Index for February.
On Friday, March 11 at 7:00 AM, the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment for March is out. At 2:00 PM, the Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count are out.
As for me, I was having lunch at the Paris France casino in Las Vegas at Mon Ami Gabi, one of the top ten grossing restaurants in the United States. My usual waiter, Pierre from Bordeaux, took care of me with his typical ebullient way, graciously letting me practice my rusty French.
As I finished an excellent, but calorie-packed breakfast (eggs Benedict, caramelized bacon, hash browns, and a café au lait), I noticed an elderly couple sitting at the table next to me. Easily in their 80s, they were dressed to the nines and out on the town.
I told them I wanted to be like them when I grew up.
Then I asked when they first went to Paris, expecting a date sometime after WWII. The gentleman responded, “Seven years ago”.
And what brought them to France?
“My father is buried there. He’s at the American Military Cemetery at Colleville-sur-Mer along with 9,386 other Americans. He died on Omaha Beach on D-Day. I went for the D-Day 70th anniversary.” He also mentioned that he never met his dad, as he was killed in action weeks after he was born.
I reeled with the possibilities. First, I mentioned that I participated in the 40-year D-Day anniversary with my uncle, Medal of Honor winner Mitchell Paige, and met with President Ronald Reagan.
We joined the RAF fly-past in my own private plane and flew low over the invasion beaches at 200 feet, spotting the remaining bunkers and floating pier. Pont du Hoc is a sight to behold from above, pockmarked with shell craters like the moon. When we landed at a nearby airport, I taxied over railroad tracks that were the launch site for the German V2 rockets.
D-Day was a close-run thing and was nearly lost. Only the determination of individual American soldiers saved the day. The US Navy helped too, bringing destroyers right to the shoreline to pummel the German defenses with their five-inch guns. Eventually battleships made sure that anything the Germans brought to with 20 miles of the coast was destroyed.
Then the gentleman noticed the gold Marine Corps pin on my lapel and volunteered that he had been with the Third Marine Division in Vietnam. I replied that my father had been with the Third Marine Division during WWII at Bougainville and Guadalcanal, and that I had been with the Third Marine Air Wing during Desert storm.
I also informed him that I had led an expedition to Guadalcanal two years ago looking for some of the 400 Marines still missing in action. We found 30 dog tags and sent them to the Marine Historical Division at Quantico, Virginia for tracing.
When the stories came back, it turned out that many survivors were children now in their 80s who had never met their fathers because they were killed in action on Guadalcanal.
Small world.
I didn’t want to infringe any further on their morning out, so I excused myself. He said Semper Fi, the Marine Corps motto, thanked me for my service, and gave me a fist pump and a smile. I responded in kind and made my way home.
Oh and say “Hi” when you visit Mon Ami Gabi. Tell Pierre that John Thomas sent you and give him a big tip. It’s not easy for a Frenchman to cater to all these loud Americans.
Stay Healthy,
John Thomas
CEO & Publisher
The Diary of a Mad Hedge Fund Trader
Third Marine Air Wing
The American Military Cemetery at Colleville-Sur-Mer
Legal Disclaimer
There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. MadHedgeFundTrader.com and all individuals affiliated with this site assume no responsibilities for your trading and investment results. The indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features are for educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice. Information for futures trading observations are obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but we do not warrant its completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the trading observations is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness of the information. You must assess the risk of any trade with your broker and make your own independent decisions regarding any securities mentioned herein. Affiliates of MadHedgeFundTrader.com may have a position or effect transactions in the securities described herein (or options thereon) and/or otherwise employ trading strategies that may be consistent or inconsistent with the provided strategies.
This site uses cookies. By continuing to browse the site, you are agreeing to our use of cookies.
OKLearn moreWe may request cookies to be set on your device. We use cookies to let us know when you visit our websites, how you interact with us, to enrich your user experience, and to customize your relationship with our website.
Click on the different category headings to find out more. You can also change some of your preferences. Note that blocking some types of cookies may impact your experience on our websites and the services we are able to offer.
These cookies are strictly necessary to provide you with services available through our website and to use some of its features.
Because these cookies are strictly necessary to deliver the website, refuseing them will have impact how our site functions. You always can block or delete cookies by changing your browser settings and force blocking all cookies on this website. But this will always prompt you to accept/refuse cookies when revisiting our site.
We fully respect if you want to refuse cookies but to avoid asking you again and again kindly allow us to store a cookie for that. You are free to opt out any time or opt in for other cookies to get a better experience. If you refuse cookies we will remove all set cookies in our domain.
We provide you with a list of stored cookies on your computer in our domain so you can check what we stored. Due to security reasons we are not able to show or modify cookies from other domains. You can check these in your browser security settings.
These cookies collect information that is used either in aggregate form to help us understand how our website is being used or how effective our marketing campaigns are, or to help us customize our website and application for you in order to enhance your experience.
If you do not want that we track your visist to our site you can disable tracking in your browser here:
We also use different external services like Google Webfonts, Google Maps, and external Video providers. Since these providers may collect personal data like your IP address we allow you to block them here. Please be aware that this might heavily reduce the functionality and appearance of our site. Changes will take effect once you reload the page.
Google Webfont Settings:
Google Map Settings:
Vimeo and Youtube video embeds: